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Amazon delivery estimates have been extremely accurate for me, in both Austin, TX and Portland, OR. Both places I was within 20 miles of a distribution center. We moved to Portland in early 2021 and it was a bit rough for like 6 months but it got sorted. They had some issues with their drivers apparently but I forgot about it until just now, since it’s been a non-issue. Lots of the deliveries come in electric rivians direct from Amazon. Occasionally a 3rd party person in their own car will deliver, and occasionally UPS will.


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