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> If the prosecutor thinks it's a slam dunk, they have little incentive to offer a plea bargain at all - if they do, it may be a very severe sentence.

You have no idea how prosecutors act. Slam dunk cases are pled. Most cases are slam dunks.

With plea bargains determining the sentence in 97% of cases, it isn't possible for those sentences to be felt to be lighter than appropriate. That would cause a political crisis.



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