I don't think the general public has the attention span to keep several hundred Primer type titles being released all year round in their consciousness.
I think the big "change" will be streaming videos over DVD/Blu-Ray rather than everything suddenly becoming an Indie movie.
Blu-ray's introduction happend after digital distribution, and it's already 2/3 of the size ($2 billion vs. $3 billion). The people of the world still like physical disks. Give it another decade.
I guess my point is that the current (flawed) system at least allows for those big budget films to exist and be appreciated by the people who want to see them.
If our goal as entrepreneurs is to delight users, then we should be considering how we're impacting consumers/creators (the two users that matter IMHO) during this era of disrupting distribution (distributors being a third, less important type of user to me).
Call me naive if you wish, but people love movies and I think it's important to fight for that.
Thank you for allowing me to rant about your blog post.
That's a key problem. And I don't pretend to have the answer but things will change whether you or I like it or not.
That said I prefer Primer over Avatar, big budgets be damned.