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Twitter Suspends User Who Predicted Aaron Rodgers Torn Achilles with Precision (mediaite.com)
10 points by c420 on Sept 13, 2023 | hide | past | favorite | 6 comments



What was he suspended for? It doesn't make sense to suspend someone for correctly foretelling the future, so there must be something missing in this story.

Of all the things Elon accepts on that site, this one crosses the line?


Looked into this a bit. Here are the possible scenarios (in order of decreasing likelihood).

1. User who made that post proceeded to make multiple inflammatory posts, breaking Twitter's rules on purpose. Gets suspended. People start believing in scenario 3.

2. Edited the post as the event was unfolding.

3 [bear with me]. The NFL is scripted and he somehow managed to leak specific details. Yes, it's very hard to script an Achilles heel injury, and it would be against Twitter's interests to suppress something like this even under pressure from the NFL (which is insane to even speculate). Just throwing this bone.


Oh, I was unaware that editing wouldn't change the date/timestamp. That is pretty common, including here (I just edited this line in on purpose to see). That would be quite misleading.

If that's what happened, it just demonstrates another way Elon has ruined Twitter as a reliable news source. Maybe it should be marked with a * when edited, like Mastodon and Reddit do.

There is history to this on Twitter. At one point, people were making fake prophesy by Tweeting things privately every day and then deleting them as they don't succeed. Then ranting about the big one that suddenly did. People would look at the account, and sure enough, lots of future foretold.


I see where you're going with this.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Texas_sharpshooter_fallacy

"[..] ...a Texan who fires some gunshots at the side of a barn, then paints a shooting target centered on the tightest cluster of hits and claims to be a sharpshooter."


Probably suspended for "impersonation" although I thought comedy was supposed to be legal.


Ah, the article does say it's a parody account. Maybe he isn't specific enough about that in the profile. The article's author certainly seemed to know, so it's obviously not a secret, or trying to deceive anyone.




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