“Probably ok” doesn’t seem adequate to cover wildfires, large scale storm flooding in areas which weren’t previously prone to it, tropical diseases becoming endemic, etc. We probably won’t have massive famines but we’re definitely going to have cost increases and reduced availability which a lot of people are going to have a hard time with. People who aren’t rich are going to struggle with all of this at the same time, especially when homeowners insurance starts meaning you can’t get a mortgage (or sell your home to someone who’ll need one).
Yeah, I don’t think the U.S. is turning into Sarajevo during the 90s but I think there will be more disruption than we expect and probably actual refugee camps sooner than we like to think.
We have refugee camps now. FEMA trailers and whatnot for hurricanes and earthquakes and for the Mexican border.
So I expect we’ll continue to have them.
But we won’t have the kind of camps they had in Jordan that had millions of refugees from Syria or something.
So I think we’ll have “normal” refugee camps that help place thousands of people. But not “end of the world” style camps with the population of Mississippi.
People seem to be catastrophizing what’s going to be a different future into something much worse than it likely will be.
