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> You can't estimate non-trivial software, and if you are doing trivial predictable work, you should be automating it, not endlessly estimating it.

so if you automate trivial predictable work (for example by making a CRUD app generator), you're moving to non-trivial software territory with costs unknown (as you said, you can't estimate), potentially very high




Or you don't and end up making a non-functional website for the public sector for $100M. Software projects fail often, and not for the lack of trying, there is not yet any evidence that you can micromanage them into succeeding.




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