We also had apps written by "non coders" in excel. We had apps written by some hackthon participants who hadn't coded at all a week before the hackathon. Writing the code is not the hard part of software development, and never has been.
The various LLMs do very poorly at generating and implementing high level designs, especially if they need to generate the specs themselves from a bunch a requirements and/or poorly formulated user feedback.
You’re reiterating his argument almost perfectly. He initially said the code writing will be left to the AIs while high level designs will be left to the engineers. That’s exactly what they mention foreseeing in the next 24 months, which I also intuitively agree with.
I don’t see this happening within the next 24 months.