As far as I'm concerned, everything that's out now is just early adopter tech demo stuff. Eventually the batteries will have more energy and no lithium, and by then the charging stations will be everywhere, and then EVs will probably quickly take over.
Business people like things they can directly observe with steady progress and milestones, so I doubt they'd go for "Hey let's build charging stations nobody will use for 20 years, then switch to EVs all at once as soon as the tech is actually ready".
I wonder how things would be different if commerical projects were more waterfall-y and less gradual?
The “battery” of the future will be something akin to hydrogen fuel cells. You eliminate all significant raw material requirements while still having an EV. The problem is that it is highly disruptive to the current trend of BEVs with giant batteries.
It's still not ideal because there's more than just Co2 coming from exhaust, but even if that was solved, is there actually enough waste to meet current demand?
Some low effort googling shows there's over 100bn gallons of gas a year used in the US, 320 million tons of crop waste, and it takes 26lbs of corn to make 1 gallon of ethanol.
Actually collecting and converting all the waste doesn't seem like an easy task or we'd presumably be doing it already, maybe it's cheaper to do EVs?
Business people like things they can directly observe with steady progress and milestones, so I doubt they'd go for "Hey let's build charging stations nobody will use for 20 years, then switch to EVs all at once as soon as the tech is actually ready".
I wonder how things would be different if commerical projects were more waterfall-y and less gradual?