> ...how and why so much of the press and the public got suckered in by Hsieh’s generation of tech evangelists.
Perhaps it was the novelty of a new way to generate money to answer the "why", and the greed that follows overwhelming prudential senses to answer the "how"?
The "tech evangelism economy" arc has undergone possibly three recent'ish manias / hype cycles by my count, though YMMV: dot-com (1990's), smartphone (2000's), crypto (2010's). I hesitate to count earlier eras like transistor (1970's), microcomputer & software (1980's) because they weren't characterized by as much mass YOLO-like people losing their minds imprudent behavior as I associate with the more recent eras. Or maybe we're in the middle of a nascent hyperinflationary excess like Weimar Germany and we just don't know it yet, I have no idea.
There were previous "global consumer economy" and "industrialization economy" arcs with their attendant manias in past centuries, but they all eventually settled into the hum of background noise of everyday life, so I'm guessing the "tech evangelism economy" arc will eventually follow the same maturation lifecycle, and the timing might have something to do with the long-term human adaptation / socialization of advancements. In the meantime, we likely have an "AI economy" mania spinning up to contend with, and maybe biologically-based tech after that.
>I hesitate to count earlier eras like transistor (1970's), microcomputer & software (1980's) because they weren't characterized by as much mass YOLO-like people losing their minds imprudent behavior as I associate with the more recent eras.
Ahem. From [1]
>>Let me tell you more about the story of the scene in the computer club concerning installation of the first web server. It was about the 100th web server anywhere, and its maintainer accosted me with an absurd chart "proving" the exponential growth of the web -- i.e. a graph going exponentially from 0 to 100ish, which he extrapolated forward in time to over a million -- you know the standard completely bogus argument -- except this one was exceptionally audacious in its absurdity. Yet he argued for it with such intensity and conviction, as if he was saying that this graph should convince me to drop everything and work on nothing but building the Internet, because it was the only thing that mattered!
I fended him off with the biggest stick I could find: I was determined to get my money's worth for my education, do my psets, get good grades (I cared back then), and there is no way I would let that be hurt by this insane Internet obsession. But it continued like that. The Internet crowd only grew with time, and they got more insistent that they were working on the only thing that mattered and I should drop everything and join them. That I was an undergraduate did not matter a bit to anyone. Undergrads were involved, grad students were involved, everyone was involved. It wasn't just a research project; eventually so many different research projects blended together that it became a mass obsession of an entire community, a total "Be Involved or Be Square" kind of thing.
>>My point is that when the MIT ecosystem really does its thing, it is capable of tackling projects that are much bigger than ordinary research projects, because it can get a critical mass of research projects working together, involving enough grad students and also sucking in undergrads and everyone else, so that the community ends up with an emotional energy and cohesion that goes way, way beyond the normal energy of a grad student trying to finish a PhD.
>>There's something else too, though I cannot report on this with that much certainty, because was too young to see it all at the time. You might ask: if MIT had this kind of emotional energy focused on something in the 90's, then what is it doing in a similar way now? And the answer I'd have to say, painfully, is that it is frustrated and miserable about being an empty shell of what it once was.
Why? Because in 2000 Bush got elected and he killed the version of DARPA with which so many professors had had such a long relationship. I didn't I understand this in the 90's -- like a kid I took the things that were happening around me for granted without seeing the funding that made them possible -- but now I see that that the kind of emotional energy expended by the Internet crowd at MIT in the 90's costs a lot of money, and needs an intelligent force behind it, and that scale of money and planning can only come from the military, not from NSF.
>>when MIT is really MIT it can do more. It is an empty shell of itself when it is merely a collection of merely successful but not cohesive NSF funded research projects. As I was saying, the Boston "ecosystem" has in itself the ability to do something singular, but it is singular in an entirely different way than SV's thing.
>>This may seem obscure, a tale of funding woes at a distant university, but perhaps it is something you should be aware of, because maybe it affects your life. The reason you should care is that when MIT was fully funded and really itself, it was building the foundations of the things that are now making you rich.
>>But MIT in its golden age could tackle much, much bigger hills -- the whole community could focus itself on ten years of nothing but pushing a really big stone up a really big hill. The potential energy that the obsessed Internet Crowd in the 90's was pushing into the system has been playing out in your life ever since. They got a really big stone over a really big hill and sent it down onto you, and then you pushed it over little bumps on the way down, and made lots of money doing it, and you thought the potential energy you were profiting from came entirely from yourselves. Some of it was, certainly, but not all. Some of it was from us. If we aren't working on pushing up another such stone, if we can't send something else over a huge hill to crash into you, then the future might not be like the past for you. Be worried.
>>So you might ask, how did this story end? If I'm claiming that there was intense emotional energy being poured into developing the Internet at MIT in the 90's, why didn't those same people fan out and create the Internet industry in Boston? If we were once such winners, how did we turn into such losers? What happened to this energetic, cohesive group?
>>When I think back, I wonder, why people weren't more scared? When we chose not to register "cool.com" or similar names, why didn't we think, life is hard, the future is uncertain, and money does really make a difference in what you can do? I think this group ethic was only possible because there was a certain confidence -- the group felt itself party to a deal: in return for being who we are, the government would take care of us, forever. Not until the time when the product achieved sufficient product/market fit that it became appropriate to expect return on investment. Forever.
Perhaps it was the novelty of a new way to generate money to answer the "why", and the greed that follows overwhelming prudential senses to answer the "how"?
The "tech evangelism economy" arc has undergone possibly three recent'ish manias / hype cycles by my count, though YMMV: dot-com (1990's), smartphone (2000's), crypto (2010's). I hesitate to count earlier eras like transistor (1970's), microcomputer & software (1980's) because they weren't characterized by as much mass YOLO-like people losing their minds imprudent behavior as I associate with the more recent eras. Or maybe we're in the middle of a nascent hyperinflationary excess like Weimar Germany and we just don't know it yet, I have no idea.
There were previous "global consumer economy" and "industrialization economy" arcs with their attendant manias in past centuries, but they all eventually settled into the hum of background noise of everyday life, so I'm guessing the "tech evangelism economy" arc will eventually follow the same maturation lifecycle, and the timing might have something to do with the long-term human adaptation / socialization of advancements. In the meantime, we likely have an "AI economy" mania spinning up to contend with, and maybe biologically-based tech after that.