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Bosses want hard workers, so they’re hiring older people (wsj.com)
96 points by Stratoscope on April 7, 2023 | hide | past | favorite | 142 comments




> a part-time position at one of two package-shipping stations

> people are living longer and having fewer children—and some retirement-age folks have little choice but to work because of inflation and a weak stock market.

... This is a dystopian story wrapped up in a weird, feel good narrative. First of all, the big position described as an example is a part-time one and at a package-shipping station. Sure, that's work that needs to be done, but it's not going to do anything for a young person looking to afford rent near a urban center, or even buy a house. Of course, the older folks can work there. They don't have to pay rent anymore. They've got their house. Usually near city centers.

Let's say that most jobs are not the sort above, i.e. full-time and paying somewhat average. If those are being taken by older folks who are coming out of retirement because "inflation and a weak stock market" ... well, that certainly tells you all you need to know about this. What is this? We, as a society, have created a world where younger folks aren't incentivised to put in any hard work because it gets them nothing while older folks who are meant to be retired are now forced to work even more.

> There is no official measure of discrimination claims on the basis of being too young because federal law protects only workers over 40

I don't see the need for one to exist honestly but this is the prefect example of the world being slanted against young folks.


> people are living longer and having fewer children—and some retirement-age folks have little choice but to work because of inflation and a weak stock market.

How out of touch one has to be to be calling the result of the latest mega bull-run on US stocks "a weak stock market"? If you want to see a real "weak stock market", check out Warsaw Stock Exchange, where stocks trade at 50% of their 2007 value - whereas, the US market is at 270% of its 2007 value, so basically doing 5x better.


Ah, yes, the good old "banana exchange" [1] To be fair, it's ridiculous how much of the WIG20 index is partly state-owned, hence not preoccupied at all with the fiduciary duty.

[1] https://gieldomania.pl/bananowa-gielda-dlaczego-mowimy-tak-n...


What if you retired in 2008 and bought an annuity? The stock market would have really hurt you then


The stock market is fake and manipulated, and propped up by an empty fiat currency that has one leg left: the military might of the USA.

How fast is your precious stock market gonna plummet once the world starts abandoning the USD as its reserve currency?


Well aside from the USA also being a major exporter of valuable goods including manufacturing, foodstuffs, movies and culture, etc.


The world is free to use any currency they want for trade, always have been. And yet they choose the USD. No one forces them to. Funny, that.


Wrong. Saudi Arabia forces countries to buy oil in USD.


What does your worldview get you besides angry?


He could be referring to Matthew 6:19: "Do not store up for yourselves treasures on earth, ... But store up for yourselves treasures in heaven, ... For where your treasure is, there your heart will be also."


Can you elaborate? I fail to see the connection


GP talks about fakeness of stock market and futility of absorbing wealth. Since it was Easter, I thought it would be appropriate to quote Bible on this matter.


> We, as a society, have created a world where younger folks aren't incentivised to put in any hard work because it gets them nothing while older folks who are meant to be retired are now forced to work even more.

Agreed. But to be fair. There are three Wes here.

We #1 who made it happen. That is, government (both right and left), big business, special interests, the media, etc.

We #2 who watched and allowed it to happen.

We #3 who made attempts to push back but were marginalized as Luddites, xenophobic, etc. Mind you some of this energy has been misguided but that should detract from the underlying cause of the frustrations. Unfortunately, it has.

The current situation isn't sustainable. Unfortunately, We #1 has refused to acknowledge the depth and breadth of the situation. Whether that intentional or negligence, it doesn't matter. The situation is heating up. Dangerously.

p.s. Slightly off topic, this is why I'm *always* suspect of jobs reports. "X jobs were created..." Ok? But of what quality? $15 p/h or $40 p/h. It it was the latter, I'm sure they would let us know.


> Of course, the older folks can work there. They don't have to pay rent anymore.

While 80% of retirees in the US own their own home (and let's not pretend that 20% is a small number), slightly more than half of those homeowners haven't paid off their mortgage.

So, most retirees in the US still have to either pay rent or make mortgage payments.


> (...) slightly more than half of those homeowners haven't paid off their mortgage.

A mortgage is far cheaper than rent. Even though that hypothetical cohort still has debts to pay, their cost of living is far more affordable than renting an equivalent place on the same spot.

Also, due to the ongoing rural-urban migration and gentrification, a house bought a couple of decades ago in the outskirts tends to be far more central and with far more benefits than those in the market right now with an equivalent cost.


> A mortgage is far cheaper than rent.

I don't know the general stats of this at all. But of the people I personally know, their mortgage payments tend to be on par with what renting a comparable house would cost.

The financial advantage to buying vs renting isn't a smaller monthly bill, it's that you're building equity if you're buying.


In the us, you're also writing off the portion of your mortgage payment that is composed of Interest on your taxes. This effectively amounts to a 20 to 40% reduction in the interest portion of the payment - which, particularly in the first few years of a mortgage lifespan constitutes a large fraction of it.

In a few more years after that, inflation will have started to tilt the advantage substantially in favor of the mortgage over renting, as the latter can freely recalibrate to the market while the former is locked in at the time of signing.

The only downsides for mortgage versus rent are ongoing property taxes and upkeep, which are highly variable from one case to the next, but nowhere approach the cost of paying an equivalent amount of rent. And of course you have to discount equity as well.


In what I’ve read on threads on this very site, a large percentage of US taxpayers don’t do mortgage interest deduction anymore since 2017. I know I sure don’t.


Yeah, if you’re married you’re very likely just a standard deduction taker now. It’s not even close.


That hasn't been true (at least in states with income tax) since 2017 since there is now a cap of $10k on the SALT deduction.

https://www.forbes.com/advisor/taxes/salt-tax-deduction/


Mortgages are inflation proof. The value of my house went up in nominal dollars but the value of the mortgage and its interest rate are locked.


The value can go down and then the value of your mortgage rate is still locked. It works in your favor until it doesn’t.


A fresh mortgage initiated today might be similar to current rents.

I think what the OP meant is a mortgage that was initiated 15 to 20 years ago is far cheaper than rent today which is true.


>> A mortgage is far cheaper than rent.

of comparable size/desirability. The thing with a mortgage is, you're likely 'stuck' with the property you have, and so you may be stuck paying more money than you really need to pay. Likely if instead you just were renting, you could rent something far smaller with smaller payments, and be ahead.


The world is slanted against individuals.


Not quite: the world is slanted against people whose lives depend on their labour, rather than their capital.


> the world is slanted against people whose lives depend on their labour, rather than their capital.

It is called capitalism for a reason...


Quite - I was suggesting it is the problem.


The greatest minority is the individual.


So this person is "tired" of workers that won't commit to his part time work? What kind of sickness does a person have to expect commitment when they to commit. Ah yes psychopaths.

Why is WSJ spinning this as some sort of upbeat champion story. Rather than the bleak distopia it clearly illustrated? Oh yeah, psychopaths.


I don’t quite understand why people should work harder than their parents.

Isn’t the whole point of progress that ... you know … we progress towards something better ?

What is the point of the productivity gains we had due to automation, if we never get to enjoy the benefits of that ?

Every parent wants their child to have a better life than them, better life to most means more opportunities. More opportunities to do what exactly ? More opportunities to work more hours ?

I understand the economy does not quite work like that, but I still think it is something we should strive for.


the economy work well for its stakeholders, its just that the average joe & jane arent the controlling/beneficiary stakeholders, outside that being enough skilled to not be easily replaced


I'm in the UK rather than the US so there might be a cultural difference I've no exposure to, but the following is my anecdotal take: I've had a lot of experience working in different companies and find that competence, intelligence and hard work are distributed evenly WRT age; that is to say there is no correlation.

When I hear complaints like this I tend to ask myself "is this a staff problem or a management failure?" And most of the time, IME it's the latter.


I can say from experience that every place I've worked at, the older workers (50 and up) have had the least sick days and leave.

If you have kids, that's a given - kids get sick, and so do you, and most get kids in their 20s and 30s...but it is curious that many senior workers have practically spotless records, compared to their younger peers.


I’m an “older worker” and have taken exactly one half a day of sick time in the last 11 years. I’ll caveat by saying that during that time I have had the flexibility to work remote (fully remote the last 3 years) so when I had the occasional cold when I was in office, I would simply work from home to avoid spreading illness in the office.


Anecdata: I took an average of 1 sick day per year until I was 34, when my first child was born.

From then moment on (8y have passed), I hover around 7-12 days per year. Quite a change.


Kids are also much more likely to have life-threatening food allergies. I think you are implying it's a cultural shift (maybe not) but I wonder if the environment we've grown up in has had subtle developmental effects and made us unhealthy, somehow. I don't know about you, but I regularly just feel like shit for basically no reason, and will want to take a day off because of that.


https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hygiene_hypothesis

> I regularly just feel like shit for basically no reason, and will want to take a day off because of that.

I feel like I've seen a rise in this. I'm not sure if older generations sucked it up or if it's a new thing.


Jokes on them! I'm old and lazy.


I'm generally optimistic about things, and have 3 great kids (around college age) and see good things from them and their friends.

But then I visit reddit, and I despair. Or my wife comes back from substitute teaching at the junior high or high school and tells me what she saw.

It's definitely a mixed bag.


we also like to hire people who can..er..hit the ground running..need less coaching less supervision and so on. everyone has their own shit to deal with and nobody wants to manage kids.


That's just siphoning the last remaining returns from the previous generation doing actual "coaching and supervision". No thought for the future.


Apprenticeship used to solve this problem. They are non existent and the tech industry and it would be cool if that changed.


That seems like a plan that's only going to last as long as the baby boomers.


If I were to be snarky I'd say that young people have everything stacked against them, economically speaking, that they realized that no amount of hard work will ever get them out ahead, so why bother working hard? Just to make your boss or shareholders richer?

If you won't be able to afford a house anyway, why bother working hard? Just do the bare minimum and at least enjoy some of your free time in a minimalist way.

It's a consequence of economic inequality we have created. If you want people to work hard you have to make it worth it for them, otherwise they check out of the economy, check out of having kids, etc. and blaming them for buying lattes, avocado toast and airpods isn't the real problem no matter how much you call them lazy and entitled.

Worker productivity has skyrocketed since the '70, but the workers' wage growth lagged far behind. What didn't lag behind was basic necessities like housing, education, healthcare, childcare. Good thing commodities like cars, TVs and smartphones got cheaper though, amirite?

People worked hard in the past because the local company they worked for contributed back to the community and was owned by locals you could see, interact with, hold accountable or riot against them, so even though those were still ruthless capitalists, they also had their limits at which they would exploit their own living environment and contributed back to the community in some way (trainings, apprenticeships, schools, hospitals, charities, kindergartens, etc.)

But now, after decades of corporate mergers and acquisitions, when most land, natural resource and means of production is owned by some giant faceless publicly traded mega-corp with HQ in some offshore tax heaven, who's only interest is extracting as much as possible from your community for the benefit of the shareholders, without giving anything back (not even taxes), and you are just a disposable commodity in an excel sheet for them, then why bother?


Young people work very hard when they are doing something worth their while. You see young people in NGOs working all day without close to no pay.

You are right. There is nothing in for young people working in a company their dream they don't share. It doesn't even make the ends meet, so why bother?


Better thesis than the WSJ could do. “Show me the incentives and I will show you the outcome.”

1.8 million people over the age of 55 die every year in the US (per US CDC). This labor pool will dwindle over time.


According to https://www.populationpyramid.net/united-states-of-america/ there are about 20m people in the 50-55 category. So about 4m people age into the over 55 category every year (for now anyway). This is a lot more than those 1.8m people who are dying each year. This is just the "aging population" problem, what better solution than to put them to work?


> So about 4m people age into the over 55 category every year (for now anyway). This is a lot more than those 1.8m people who are dying each year.

Spoiler alert: those 4m people aging into over 55 were likely already working, so they're not taking a bunch of 'new jobs' , just shifting roles (and vacating their previous roles). You're still losing that 1.8m per year.

You have to look at the other end of the job pool for new entrants, those turning 18, and see what their attitudes are. That's the parent comment's argument. The younger people will take up a larger and larger percentage of the 'under 55 year old workforce' and have a very different relationship with work than those that are currently over 55.

Eventually they'll take enough of a chunk of the workforce that corporations will have no choice but to accommodate, because they can't just keep tapping into the dwindling 'people who will overwork themselves into an early grave' demographic to make up for it.


You're right, thanks for helping me clear up my thinking.



>If I were to be snarky I'd say that young people have everything stacked against them, economically speaking, that they realized that no amount of hard work will ever get them out ahead, so why bother working hard? Just to make your boss or shareholders richer?

You're assuming "young people" can even find a job, considering employers now just collect resumes for a rainy day, or something. I'm aging out of being young, and when I read about that I kinda just wondered what the point of applying to jobs even is anymore.


People didn't work so hard before because they felt like they earned a fair share - has this ever been the case before? They did it out of necessity, cultural expectations and personal fulfillment. The first two factors have changed a lot, but it's the third one that keeps me going.

I personally feel much better if I use all my brain and a ton of energy at work. I've had a couple of jobs where this wasn't the case, and I found myself much less happy and, ironically, exhausted. At least in my case, working hard has led to a lot of opportunities for learning and growing, and money followed too. Not enough to buy a house, that's true, but I live a more comfortable life than my parents who did have a house.

I guess what I'm trying to say is that while the game might be rigged at a high level, my personal experience is that working hard still puts me where I would like to be.


Do you have a job like in the article? A close to minimum wage job at a packing station. Which of the 3 factors would keep you there


There were many kinds of jobs discussed in the article. And I think the defeatist sentiment in the parent did not come from a person working on a minimum wage job.


> People didn't work so hard before because they felt like they earned a fair share - has this ever been the case before?

It's always been the case and research shows that when employees feel that they are valued, trusted, and fairly compensated their performance improves (for examples see https://www.apa.org/news/press/releases/2012/03/well-being or https://www.hindawi.com/journals/edri/2021/1751495/ or https://www.ijlass.org/data/frontImages/gallery/Vol._3_No._1...)

> They did it out of necessity, cultural expectations and personal fulfillment.

Necessity and cultural expectations might make someone seek and maintain employment, but being treated fairly makes them work harder, makes them more loyal, and leads to better outcomes. Demoralizing employees is always going to result in reduced productivity. It may be true that the work you do is is fulfilling enough to prevent you from being demoralized even if your employer treats you like shit, but I doubt most people feel that strongly about their work. If they aren't earning enough to take care of themselves, let alone their families, morale isn't going to be very high.

Hard work can lead to financial security, fair compensation, and professional fulfillment, but there is no guarantee that it will. It's an employers job to convince their employees that their hard work is worthwhile and will pay off for them in the end.


Old workers also know that only the team matters, and everyone is expendable.

If anything, I guess finally US is catching up with the fact that most countries don't have a workaholic culture, and people rather work to live, not live to work.


Just to back this up with some data:

"In 1989, when baby boomers were around the same age as millennials are today, they controlled 21% of the nation’s wealth. That’s almost five times as much as what millennials own today."

On top of that housing and university costs have exploded in the same time. And now inflation counters even investing in a good mutual fund. I have had to move to a third world country, working remotely in tech, to even have a chance at a normal family like I grew up in.

Then there's the media manipulation. Both domestic political parties, as well as foreign states, have become extremely adept at making us hate each other. There's no philia left at all.

When I extrapolate all this out, my kids will be poor and my grandkids will be revolutionaries.


I agree more and more with this sentiment as time passes.

Nothing has been left for the kids. Everything has been financialized, and the effect of that is that everything is priced so that you can't get much out of it.

Smart kid, likes math and science? You used to be able to get into a university relatively easily, with decent but not top few percent grades. When you got there you wouldn't be saddled with huge debt. When you finished there was a decent chance to stay in the academy. Try getting tenure now.

When you left uni you could find a job because not everyone wanted the same few jobs. People aren't stupid, they've realised some jobs get all the pay. Now it's either the dream job, or get a job that you can't be happy with.

Now try buying a house with that average job. You can't, not even with years of work.

On top of it all the ideology of the previous generation is that it's all your own fault. People who had a huge leg up after the war seem to believe it was all them and everyone should should just work harder.

Edit: Let me continue my rant:

Not only is everything a contest, it starts at a young age, before you even know what you want to be when you grow up. If your parents are rich, they know what levers to pull. If kiddo is gonna work in banking, they will find someone to let junior sit on a desk for a week so they can say they have experience. If you have a selective school system, the parents will spend money on tutors. I was astonished to find my kid was the only one not being tutored right through the summer, several times a week. I watched a documentary about Korean schools where the kids are in school during their entire waking hours. There's got to be a different sort of childhood.

Back to economics. We have instituted a system where the incumbents are bailed out when they mess up. It used to be that some old guy who had gotten out of touch with his customers would hit the rocks and have to close down. That would create an opening for some younger person, probably an employee in that industry. Every level in the food chain benefits from this, whether it's a multinational breaking up their widget division or the local restaurant. Nowadays, biding your time is wasting your time. You're in a pyramid that gets very sharp at the top, and there are no pieces falling off.

Finally, voting and demographics. People who are retiring in the next few years are a huge voting block across many countries (even ones that aren't democratic, lol) and they will want their needs met by people who are working. It's not going to be viable to tell them "hey you didn't in aggregate raise enough productive kids, you made your bed now lie in it". So the terms of trade with younger generations will simply be changed so that younger people face worse and worse deals than the boomers.


I agree with everything you just said.

So what are we going to do about it? I suspect nothing until people start rioting


That is the sad reality: to fix the institutionalized inequalities we are going to have to tear everything down, because as time has shown attempting anything less drastic enables the superior manipulating communicators to take over the entire enterprise and make themselves kings.


I don't see how you can tear everything down and get to a better place. Tearing everything down will leave you with nothing. Endless examples of "people's republics" where the power gets concentrated and people are left with none. The total wealth has expanded with capitalism. Large numbers of people lifted out of poverty.

Yes, housing is a problem. But then fix the regulation that inhibits development of housing and makes it more expensive. And then go work in construction as houses don't build themselves. Wealth is to be created not to be redistributed until there is nothing left.


There is a spectrum of possible actions. Some things will need to be entirely replaced. Others maybe only 70, 40, 10%. And solidarity to effect the most painful changes.

The current trend is reaching the breaking point.


Here are the latest numbers on inequality. Bottom 50% of people paid just 2.3 percent of federal income taxes. Is this something to be replaced?


Does anyone know of an organisation doing good work in this area?


Bernie Sanders and his team.


> You used to be able to get into a university relatively easily, with decent but not top few percent grades. When you got there you wouldn't be saddled with huge debt. When you finished there was a decent chance to stay in the academy

Academics, or even "smart" work aside, you used to be able to pay rent, buy a car, and save for a house on minimum wage, and later still with a strong entry level salary in pretty much any blue collar work.

Now, minimum wage will leave you homeless in most places.

> On top of it all the ideology of the previous generation is that it's all your own fault.

We're a few generations past the boomers, but you're right, Millenials and Zoomers (and the oldest of gen Alpha) definitely have to deal with this


A city I used to live in was like this. The working class people used to live densely in apartments and houses.

The city did not like all those cars parked out front so they instituted a policy which targeted these people, levying fines through shady and aggressive tow companies.

You had to have a car to get to work though - and although they could partly solve this by painting bike lanes to make biking more viable, they did not do that either.

But the city wanted to have its cake and eat it too - so it incentivized local factories to expand their operations to bring more of these folks to the city to work, making the problem worse.

It is like that scene from "History of the world Pt. 1". Fuck the poor!


Sounds like Denver, today.


Not just that. My dad bought a car, paid for an apartment, and paid for college in cash while working near minimum wage… today?


The only thing your dad could own today would be an iPhone and a '98 Civic.


"Now try buying a house with that average job. You can't, not even with years of work... People who had a huge leg up after the war seem to believe it was all them and everyone should should just work harder."

I sometimes wonder if Boomers find it funny when people say things like "people who had a huge leg up after the war" given what that leg up consisted of.

The problem isn't the work. Houses are so different today (considerably larger and built with amenities like air conditioning, fireplaces, dishwashers, garbage disposals) that you are simply not buying the same thing. A house was apparently as likely to lack running water in 1950 as it is to lack air conditioning today. Same deal with cars - a household then would only have one and by modern standards it was an unsafe gas guzzling under-powered abomination.

The problem is not that your income is low compared to your parents (it is not; they were statistically probably impoverished compared to you), the problem is it's impossible and in some cases literally illegal to buy stuff as crappy as what they owned. We've priced the poor out not by cutting their salaries but by destroying old housing stocks, NIMBYing out affordable housing, imposing fuel economy standards, killing acid rain, and just generally making the entry level of everything more luxurious because the economy was awash with easy money.

The exception (as Yglesias notes) is university, which really is generally more expensive for the same or probably lower quality.

https://www.slowboring.com/p/nostalgia-economics-is-totally-...


Eh, no.

It is not the house that is expensive, it is the real estate.

(Prefab houses today are built far more efficiently than anything before, accounting for both materials and man hours. Same with cars.)


Kind of my point though. If you can find someplace they'll let you build a prefab house, and you cut the amenities and size to what was expected on a 1950s house, you should absolutely be able to buy a new house that's cheaper than any new house your parents could afford.

But as the Yglesias article points out, your parents (unless very rich) were probably not buying a new house. They had old housing stock lying around. You don't. And if you want to build a new modular home, it's probably illegal to put it where you want and probably impossible to finance it if you can:

https://www.finelinehomes.com/biggest-problems-modular-homes...


The income/house ratio was way way lower back then.

Even if your parents bought a house twice as expensive, it would be cheaper. They could have used the extra money on insulation or piping or whatever the difference was, they just didn't.

Besides this is like saying televisions were all crappy black and white units so your parents didn't have it so easy. But the hedonic adjustment is just that, you can't buy a crappy unit now so you pretend the difference matters.

What went for a house then has got to be the standard, surely.


If what went for a house back then is the standard then the problem for Gen Z is solved. You can afford a 1950s house, a car built to 1950s standards, and to send 2 of your 3 kids (probably not the girl) to college one one income, with plenty left over that your Boomer parents (or grandparents possibly) didn't have.

The point is the hedonic adjustment. It's not that the kids don't live like the Boomers because they can't, it's that they don't live like the Boomers because both the government and the market wouldn't let them if they wanted to, which they don't.


Eh, again no.

> You can afford a 1950s house

Where I am from in Europe, most houses from 1950s are in use. The apartment buildings are generally constructed to higher standards than modern ones (thicker concrete, less use of aerated concrete, no plasterboard interior walls, and so on). Apartment buildings from maybe 1890-1940 are considered premium due to better architecture, higher ceilings, robustness etc. New buildings to those standards are simply not possible.

Old buildings have been continually updated with amenities; water and sewage, central heating, internet. The cost of these are rounding errors compared to the market value.

Modern buildings are cost-optimized to a whole new level. If you honestly have difficulties understanding this; it's equivalent to comparing modern flatpack furnitures with semi-handbuilt ones from 1950s factories. The cost in man-hours and materials of modern furnitures is a fraction of the old ones.


I agree with where you end up ("Now try buying a house with that average job. You can't, not even with years of work.") but I can't follow the complete reasoning?

Why would getting tenure be harder nowadays? If it really is, probably because there are more people getting a PhD in the first place (because more people are going to university in the first place).

But perhaps this is also somewhat of a tangent to your main point.


> Why would getting tenure be harder nowadays?

It seems to be partly volume but also that universities are very reluctant to give tenure. If you're a younger academic you're probably working at multiple universities on short term contract. My wife is taking some university courses and one of her professors works at 4 different schools to make ends meet.


Yet universities are at an all time high for administrator cost and bloat. You have to ask where the money is going.


Tenure is just one of many forms of dependable income that is harder to get now that it was a few decades ago. I suppose it's because there is more competition: more people at university in the first place, more students per professor, and people who are profs started as students. Universities have also figured out that they've got you by the balls once you decide you want to try the tenure track, so you end up doing a lot of postdoc before you get that prize.

I sound like Karl Marx himself when I say it, but it's the capitalists extracting as much work as possible from the helpless workers. (I don't think I'm normally even on the left, but here we are.)


I'm as far from a marxist as you can get. But we right now have this unholy union of capitalism and weird cultural norms, together enforced by the state. Example: instead of people having generational households and wealth, we're forced to ship kids out at 18 and force them to start from 0$. It's the cultural norm for people to save just enough for retirement so that there is nothing left for kids. People buy a house that's huge, instead of a smaller one and then buy one for the kids when they leave house. And other countless such examples. Cumulatively it means that "something" was extracted away from humans and transformed into fungible monetary things that the "evil" capitalists can insert themselves into.


>Smart kid, likes math and science? You used to be able to get into a university relatively easily, with decent but not top few percent grades. When you got there you wouldn't be saddled with huge debt. When you finished there was a decent chance to stay in the academy. Try getting tenure now.

You're neglecting the fact that nowadays there is very little actual use for a university. If I want to study something, I have instant access to it.


Do you know a lot of working mathematicians without degrees?


A lack of people pursuing the option doesn't mean the option is any less viable. Nobody's stopping you from downloading a book on abstract algebra, or statistics, or lattices, or whatever it is that tickles your fancy.


> A lack of people pursuing the option doesn't mean the option is any less viable.

Ok, so as long as we're clear you're asserting this claim without any evidence, just your belief that reading a book somehow grants the same education as, say, a higher level formal education.


There is very little difference between paying to read a book, listen to a lecture and occasionally take a test, and just reading a book & listening to a lecture. You don't even need it to get to know academics.

I've been told on numerous occasions by people that I was right about university (I've been telling people not to bother for like 7 years now), and that it wasted their time and drained their bank account for nothing.


> There is very little difference between paying to read a book, listen to a lecture and occasionally take a test, and just reading a book & listening to a lecture.

Unless you're trying to convince someone else you did those things.

> I've been told on numerous occasions by people that I was right about university (I've been telling people not to bother for like 7 years now), and that it wasted their time and drained their bank account for nothing.

People can say lots of things, until there's proof there's no reason to believe it. Again, if you have examples please let me know.


>Unless you're trying to convince someone else you did those things.

This is very easy to do if you've actually done those things.


How do you prove you have extensive and deep knowledge on dozens or even hundreds of topics? And it's so easy why is no one doing it? It should be way easier to read a few books than to get a math PhD, right?


By having an actual portfolio of work that demonstrates your ability. You don't need a PhD if you've actually done something valuable. The reason people don't do it because their parents told them to go to uni, because their parents told them to go to uni because etc, it's that simple.

If Ramanujan did it you can too.


> By having an actual portfolio of work that demonstrates your ability.

No, no, you've skipped the vital steps - how do they get the work? Just reading a book or three doesn't give you the ability to get that work. Or are you of the belief that if you watch an online lecture and read a couple of books you can start making valuable contributions to mathematics? Again, examples would be good.

> If Ramanujan did it you can too.

I'm just going to say if you're most contemporary example you can come up with is from 150 years ago you may have a problem with your argument. The academic landscape has slighty changed in that time. But I'm feeling generous, I will accept that one person every 100 years can probably do it. That doesn't make it "very easy to do", in fact it's an argument for the opposite. It would seem it's easier to become president given that there have been a lot more example of those in the last 100 years.


>Or are you of the belief that if you watch an online lecture and read a couple of books you can start making valuable contributions to mathematics

Yes.


Well, that'll be easy to prove contemporary examples of people without formal education who contributed to and got jobs in mathematics, right?


That's not the only use of university. It also confers prestige and social capital which you can cash in when you enter the job market.


There are ways of obtaining social capital with a much better ROI


Like what?


Visiting rich neighbourhoods and joining whatever it is they do. You just have to look the larp, and a bespoke suit and train ride is a much cheaper investment than three years at uni.


I fall into the group of people you are talking about.

And yet, having a good leader for a manger or boss will still get me to work hard(er), but that is such a rare occurrence.


What does a good leader do? Or better phrased: what makes a good leader in your eyes?


Good leaders are like good parents. They provide their workers the tools they need to succeed without being overly prescriptive; they hold their workers accountable without being harshly judgmental or showing undue favoritism; they care about their workers and desire their success; they are respected by their workers while at the same respecting their workers.


Not the same person, but for me it is hard to put into words, you kinda just know it almost instantly when you start working with one.

By far the most important trait is that they know their team and their strengths and weaknesses, put them doing the right tasks for their skillset, and trust them to get the job done.

The second most important trait is a clear vision. They know what they need to achieve, what resources they need and/or have available, and don't waste time on pointless busywork (like scrum poker)

Working with someone like that makes work very rewarding. It is unfortunately almost impossible to find such a leader in most big companies as their company structure with 30 layers and PMs and what not simply does not allow it.


Has clear vision, can communicate clearly, eliminates distractions, hires talented people, aligns team with goals, goes forward undaunted, reduces team stress.


Good leaders are people who put their subordinates and mission above themselves.

I used to work at a summer camp and during meal time, it was easy to tell who the good leaders were.

They weren't the people at the front of the line before their campers. The good leaders made sure their subordinates ate first and they waited to eat last and ate with their campers, rather than the staff table.


Talking about CEOs:

Competent, has solid strategy, can execute it.


> People worked hard in the past

And maybe that has something to do with making more money and being able to afford more things?

Slightly exaggerated, but from surveys in Germany, I gather that young people want to retire at 60, work part time, have at least 30 days of vacation per year, earn enough to afford "a good life" (large flat, vacations, parties), and do something interesting at work that "vibes" with them.

Those don't mix well for most people and jobs, because few people get paid well to do their hobbies part-time. And how could they? They'll spend 20-25 years until they start working, then spend 35-40 years working (with a sabbatical or two thrown in), then they'll spend another 30 years retired (life expectancy is rising).

And maybe there's also a social contagion. Individually, people might come to a different conclusion, but if a large number of their peers rejects the opportunities, there's a good chance they'll let that affect their judgement.


Not really. The people who worked the hardest got nothing.

My grandfather worked ~20 years in mines. That was very hard work. He got nothing for it. The house he had to turn in (wasn't his) when the war (WW2) broke out. He had 5 kids (which was not a particularly high number). He managed to make it work by making wood furniture (mostly windows and window related stuff). He didn't make much from that either, but more than in the mine. He claims it was MUCH less intense work.

After the war, he got a job as a police officer. He did essentially nothing for another ~45 years (yes, he worked from 11 to 67 I believe). He's not rich but on that wage he eventually got 13 kids total (Christmas parties no longer fit in their house once half his kids got married), put 3 through university, and all of them through higher education.

We don't pay for hard work. Not back then. Not now. Plumber still makes a lot less than software engineer, and software engineer is not hard work.


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I see people are still doing the 99.6% of "poor" households own a refrigerator! thing.


Lattes and iPhones are insignificantly cheap compared to modern costs of housing, medicine and childcare; it's perfectly reasonable that someone can afford the former but can't afford the latter.


And if you know how to use your iphone you can get all sorts of valuable information from it.


I don’t blame you for rolling your eyes. Strawmen can’t even have babies!


What if it’s a replicant kind of situation though?


Lattes and iPhones are an order of magnitude cheaper than having a kid... Especially since you can easily afford slightly older apple devices.

Especially if you have anything less than great health insurance. (Even mine at a huge tech company has moved to 5k deductible + HSA)


Let’s say someone buys an iPhone and 4 lattes per week: each latte costs about $4, and a new iPhone is $25 per month on a payment plan. Let’s do the math now. $16(x)4=$64, and that’s your total latte spend per month. Add on the iPhone and it’s at $79, but let’s round up to $80 $80(x)12 months = $960

Wow those fools spending their $960 which if they saved they would be able to put 20% down on a $400,000 home in only…

80 YEARS OF SAVING

Yeah I think the latte and iPhone is more pleasure then saving until death for nothing at all. Do the math next time.


Throwing out there that 16$ a week in coffee isn’t that much, make it two a day so you can be in the cool group, 16 goes to 40. Then chuck in a toastie because you deserve it twice a week now you’re at 60. A take away or two call it 100. I don’t think it’s far out to say it’s easy to squander 100 a week even when poor. 5k a year. Not enough to save for a house, but 1. the start of being responsible even if it’s squirrelling away pennies. 2. Having some savings means you don’t get wiped out by every unexpected bill. 3. Working hard to put away 50$ -100$ a week is a tough and long slog that might give you motivation to try for a better life (or give up but others have covered that).

But going by what I would call your low ball number, every 20$ a week you save works out a grand a year. 80 years for 20$, 40 40, 20 80, 10 160, 5 320.??? So, get on the treadmill or don’t but it’s weird how many people buck against the idea that when you’re very poor then every 10’s of dollars a week does add up. Not that 10 dollars matters, but can you make that 20 a week? Can you squeeze more for 40? 80? Some people have made those sacrifices, they don’t rate the pleasure of latte and iPhone higher than financial security. So please if you could manage, don’t throw out phrases like do that maths sarcastically.


Comment of the day sir

I hear all the time about my parents generation going to the pub several nights a week which I as a middle class professional could not afford.

My dad was telling me how much his rent (nice house in the country) was after he got married and how hard it was to save for a house. A few more questions got to it being 1/20th of his junior tradesman income! I could live like a king if my rent was 1/20th of my income


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You're adorable <3


"Don't feed egregious comments by replying; flag them instead."

https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html


I sincerely meant they're adorable! Why would I flag them, dang? >=T


It'd be $89, but your point is well and truly made.


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In the 60s as a young fella you might have lusted after a Zenith Zanette portable radio. Latest technology, yours for only $40 in 1962.

These were popular devices, in 1959 there were estimated to be 950 wireless radios (all makes and models, not just Zanettes) for every 1000 inhabitants of the USA.

$40 in 1962 is around $400 today.

In 1960 as young man on below average wages you could have a house, a car and a wireless radio.

In 2023 as a young man on above average wages you can have the wireless radio (today that gadget is an iphone) but forget the house and car.

Actually it’s more likely to be an android among young males - couldn’t say why but cost seems an obvious reason!


I think your calibration as to destitution has gone askew. These things you're complaining about are cheap compared to everything else in their life, but you ask them to give it up so they can "act the part"?

The person you are responding to made it very clear that just because you can afford an iPhone it doesn't mean you can afford a home, but you'd deny them the iPhone? Why? He just proved that removing the little things wont get them the big things, so why can't they enjoy the little things? It's not helping them to deny themselves, it's allowing you to feel correct in your understanding of what poor looks like.

You demanding that all the poor wear a hair shirt to show their repentance is your own desire to watch them "act the part" as you believe their part to be, not something that will make their lives better, unless you believe the suffering is the point.


Let me put it this way: If someone supposedly destitute doesn't have the discipline to put their meager surplus income towards their savings, I'm not going to help them.

Owning something like an iPhone is a luxury, if you spend on luxuries then you do not need help and I'm not going to help you.

It's the same reason most of us wouldn't help a homeless man who spends whatever money he gets on booze.


> I'm not going to help them.

What help are YOU offering? You keep saying you won't help. And what would consider acceptable savings for said help? And what is being saved for? What do you want the poor to do with their savings? It will never be enough to retire or buy a home or nice car with.

Again, it sounds like the denial is the point.


>What help are YOU offering?

Whatever it is they actually need help with.

So long as they have an iPhone, they clearly don't need help with money so I'm not helping them with money.


For many, the cost of a new iPhone isn't even the cost of rent for a month. In fact, a bare-bones iPhone is the cost of my rent a decade ago. You're claiming that that's the breaking point for you when it's not even going to be 8% of their annual housing cost, to say nothing of their other living expenditures. Also, is the very fact it's an iPhone offensive? Would you be as offended by a poor person having an iPhone 6?


Lots of boomers have iPhones, will you remember this rule when we have to eliminate social security?


Absolutely, luxuries are second to necessities. If someone gets into financial ruin or can't get out of being destitute due to a lack of proper budgeting, that's on them.


> If the argument is that they are destitute

To be clear, that is not the argument.

The argument is over your claim that if someone can afford an iPhone then they can afford to have children.


Indeed, if someone can afford luxuries (eg: iPhones) they aren't destitute.

If they aren't destitute they can afford to have children, because the claim is people can't have children because they are destitute.


The average yearly cost of raising a child is $15,000 (rounded down), the average yearly cost of owning an iPhone is $3,000 (rounded way up). People exist in that gap who can afford an iPhone, but cannot afford children -- even if they skipped the iPhone.


"To the capitalist, every luxury of the worker seems to be reprehensible, and everything that goes beyond the most abstract need – be it in the realm of passive enjoyment, or a manifestation of activity – seems to him a luxury."

Karl Marx.


Indeed, luxuries are reprehensible if they actually can't afford them due to necessities needing priority. It's this thing called balancing a budget, handy skill to know.

If they can afford luxuries (there's nothing bad with being luxurious), they don't need any financial help because they clearly have more than enough spare cash.

If you're going to ask me for money or otherwise complain about not having money, make your case first by not spending money on frivolous luxuries.


You're inflicting a non-human amount of suffering on someone because they had the temerity to be poor?

They should afford no paint to make art with, no weekly coffee, because the greedy capitalist class has decreed that their housing should eat up 100% of their pay and they should be happy with this?

I would rather we burned such a system down than continue it.


It's likely the people you see doing this have wealthy parents


> Look, if the problem of low birth rates is "We have no monies!", you'll have to excuse me for rolling my eyes when I see them buying lattes and iPhones in their very next breath.

If anyone is reading this, beware of boomer logic.

Children are a real commitment, unlike an iPhone. I don’t even have a sim in this iPhone I’m currently holding. It is ok. I can use it on WiFi. You can’t do that with a child. You have to feed and clothe the child. You have to take care of them when they are sick.

A coworker had a baby with an irregular heartbeat. They used to come to work with red eyes like evidently they’d been crying. Why are they at work? I mean there’s more than a dozen doctors and nurses parading in and out of the baby’s room in the hospital. Our health insurance is from our employer.

Let’s assume you somehow raised a healthy child and more they want to go to college. If college continues to go up in cost like it has got the last twenty or thirty years, where will we be when a baby born today wants to go to college?

It is not a crime to not have children. I say it is our right and our duty to not have children if we can’t make the numbers work.


If countries truly want children, provide healthcare, parental leave and protect the careers of women. Otherwise, they don’t want “children”…. They want upper-class children.


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The other replies have made it pretty clear why it's not hypocritical. A child is way more expensive than iPhones and lattes.


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I think for most people the threshold of financial security above which they'd be comfortable bringing up a child is well above "not destitute".


> Worker productivity has skyrocketed since the '70, but the workers' wage growth lagged far behind.

This impression is an artifact of comparing apples and oranges. Many sectors have seen almost zero real productivity growth in decades, such as the hospitality industry (waiters and waitresses). See: https://www.brookings.edu/blog/the-avenue/2016/07/21/look-to...

The median worker does not work in a sector that has seen high productivity growth, even if the economy as a whole has seen high productivity growth.


Go ahead.




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