I am building my system https://aidev.codes and adding virtual servers to allow back-end code with the explicit goal of selling this service to end-users as an alternative to hiring software engineers. In the niche I have previously been working in, there is a huge demand to build fairly complex integrations (such as with my other service) without an adequate budget to hire a person.
I already know at least one designer who previously would have considered hiring me for something but now has explained that they are achieving tasks with ChatGPT.
Especially when you start to understand the reasoning ability of GPT-4, what the 32k context window and ability to understand images means, any software engineer who thinks their job will remain safe is in complete denial.
In fact, with this release you will start to see quite a lot of non-programmers start using Github. Within X months or a few years, its quite feasible that Microsoft will have a software engineer built into Windows.
Do you have evidence to back these claims? Specifically that AI will be replacing software engineers any time soon and that Copilot exists explicitly to gather data towards that purpose.
I’ve been working on ML systems like that for the last 10 years, usually as tools to automate boring data entry tasks like tagging photos, automating food logging, giving dietary advice.
At first these tools offer suggestions, but as more data comes in they start to do parts of the work autonomously, until they can handle all cases.
Stable diffusion will replace a ton of paid design work, self driving cars will at some point replace most drivers.
Well it's hard to argue against the idea that the final aim of Copilot is to automate as much of software engineering as possible.
I don't think that their aim is explicitly to replace humans, but to be as helpful as possible to developers, but doing that does exactly the other thing