State-by-State Polls Compared to Economic Indicators

[Anon84]

http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2008/11/01/state-by-state-polls-compared-to-economic-indicators/

[litewulf]

For those to lazy to think about it too much...

(In general) Obama does better in states that are doing poorly economically.

[DenisM → litewulf]

Uhm, no. California, Oregon and Washinton (to name a few) are not in dire srtraights, yet are all pro-Obama.

[litewulf → DenisM]

Fine, "in general". There are more mccain states in places where income has gone up, and so on.

Actually, I just graphed it, and correlation is super weak. http://img91.imageshack.us/my.php?image=blahvs9.gif (Stupid Google Docs wouldn't play nice with the graph, so I had to use Excel. Sorry Web 2.0)

[vaksel]

its pretty simple really. Those people for whom trickle down economics didn't work are looking to vote out those people responsible.

[Prrometheus → vaksel]

Or, if we wanted to avoid simplistic partisan rhetoric, we might say that poor economic conditions tend to cause voters to favor the non-incumbent party.

[vaksel → Prrometheus]

well yes, voters are holding the incumbent party responsible