On: Today's 5-year-olds will likely live to 100

[0xDEF]

China and the US depend too much on eachother to fight a large scale war.

Russia's geopolitical ambitions has currently been limited to forcefully annexing Donetsk, Kherson, Luhansk, Zaporizhzhia and Odessa from Ukraine. They will most likely get Donetsk and Luhansk and fail at permanently annexing the other regions.

Neither will lead to a large scale global war.

[ginko → 0xDEF]

> China and the US depend too much on eachother to fight a large scale war.

They also said that in 1914.

[goodpoint → ginko]

Also said that nuclear weapons will prevent wars due to MAD, and yet it turns out traditional war is profitable.

[shigawire → ginko]

We did but the scale of interdependence is much greater. Though hard to say if that matters enough