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This is hyperbolic, of course. But it makes Kurzweil's 2045 prediction of the singularity not as outlandish as it first seemed. https://www.smithsonianmag.com/air-space-magazine/reaching-s...



He predicts 2029 as when machines will pass a "valid Turing test", one that goes for hours.


Still outlandish. Not especially well defended either.


We're far enough away from 2045 that it seems hasty to completely discard it as outlandish. But, yes, unlikely.




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