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We used to double generating capacity every year in the US for like 3 decades in a row. Electrification of vehicles increasing electricity needs by about 50%. But a ban on NEW fossil fuel vehicles would then take two decades to trickle down to all vehicles. So overall, there’s the better part of 3-4 decades to transition generating capacity.



Wait, the US electrical generation capacity increased by a factor of a billion in 30 years?

I know industrialization was fast but was it really that fast?


Previous commenter doesn't say which year they're talking about, but at least from after 1950, it's wrong: https://www.eia.gov/energyexplained/electricity/electricity-...

EDIT: they answered somewhere else, they mean every decade from 1940 to 1970. Which seems about correct, and also not particularly relevant.


How is it not relevant? Growing electricity production by very large relative amounts in short periods of time has historical precedence if even greater relative and faster growth, and I would consider that pretty relevant when discussing such things.


Because it falls under the belief of things being able to grow exponentially forever. Just because something could double for 3 decades straight doesn't mean it can happen just as easily in the forth.


double is still impossible on large scale


Under what definition of the word “impossible” could that be true?


I meant to say every decade, but I can no longer edit my comment.


Should be a doubling every decade, not every year. (I’m unable to edit.)




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