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I predict ChatGPT is the next Self driving Tesla tech.



Self-driving tech is heavily regulated and requires physical testing (sans Nvidia's new interesting approach of actually created a VR world to teach the AI), it's not remotely comparable. GPT is just another tool on the toolbelt, people that use it in a reliant way will get torched. It's no different than a regular search engine, it just compiles data instead of sitting in an index. Combined with a search engine, and knowledge, it's fine.


Impressive enough to fool the rubes is all the matters.


There is a big difference IMHO. Self Driving must get it right 101% of the time.

ChatGPT search getting better than Google even 50% of the time should be enough.

All the need is to add references to the answers that ChatGPT gives right now, and it will be game over for Google.


> ChatGPT search getting better than Google even 50% of the time should be enough.

That’s a bit tricky because wrong results in Google are easier to spot due to metadata and context. With ChatGPT you have neither. In worse cases you ended up with a confidently incorrect statistical mode who think’s it’s infallible


Are we expecting the same ChatGPT product that is in public beta to simply be deployed as the new Bing?


2 years away from the full launch!


Seriously - it’s the 85% correct solution that gets you killed in the other 15%


Well but it doesn’t kill you when it’s wrong so being 85% right is a lot more valuable


On the roughly 100 autopilot trips I’ve taken - you nailed it - I died 15 times.


It's not about 100 easy autopilot trips, it's about 1001 trip where you as human can easily see what to do but AI will interpret reality wrong because it was not trained to handle that edge case and you will die.


That's why everything except for TACC is in beta, the driver needs to agree to be ready to take control immediately before their use, and so on.


That sounds more like 99.9% not 85%. Guess it’s a good thing I don’t nap while it’s on.


I think this is called survivor bias?


That explains why I pass by so many smoking burned out teslas. My turn soon I guess!




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