> "the grid" (?) will look dramatically different in 13 years.
I don't think so. It takes forever for anything to get built in this country. I have zero confidence the grid will improve fast enough to make mass EV adoption practical in many parts of the US. During the intervening period we will see higher energy bills, rolling blackouts, and rationing.
I mean, if our governments and utility companies were good at building this sort of thing, then why are the power grids in such a poor state today?
In the last few years my city Memphis demolished its primary coal plant and replaced it with several advanced combined cycle gas plants. TVA, which serves Memphis, is a reasonably middle of the road power provider. In the last few years in my Texas businesses we've started buying wind-only energy at commercial scale, which is cheaper but requires A certain demand use curve for low rates. Solar will continue rapid installation. EV charging will become more distributed.
These are significant changes and have happened in the last 10 yrs. The grid can continue to make major changes. Nothing I've said is particularly wild or opinionated.
The article and the report make a very plain fallacy of assuming a millions of EVs get dumped on the grid at the same time with no other material changes. It's just not a helpful discussion or presented conclusion/headline. Bold claims extrapolated from sparse data. Reminds me of the peak oil articles way back when, media sought to cast an image of cars stranded on apocalyptic interstates.
I don't think so. It takes forever for anything to get built in this country. I have zero confidence the grid will improve fast enough to make mass EV adoption practical in many parts of the US. During the intervening period we will see higher energy bills, rolling blackouts, and rationing.
I mean, if our governments and utility companies were good at building this sort of thing, then why are the power grids in such a poor state today?