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Remote work means that now you are competing with people from all around the world, some of them living in places with very permissive labor laws, which means that wages around where you live will go down.



Timezones really matter more than location. I think we’ll see people move to low CoL areas before mass offshoring.

So much organisational friction is from people who don't want to destroy work/life balance with early/late meetings.


We'll see. The idea that Indians will replace us all has yet to pan out. But the increasing prevalence of remote may be the tipping point.


Decades ago when offshoring started, the best available technology were crappy VoIP phones and expensive videoconference technology.

Now any low tier laptop with zoom will give you a proper videoconferencing experience, infrastructure is all cloud based, there are 10x more fiber cables connecting the planet, there are lots of well documented open source projects for almost everything, and for learning there is youtube and MOOCs.

Also, foreign schools are getting better, and many alumni of offshored companies are now founders. The silicon valley model of financing is being replicated abroad too.

Believe me when I tell you: the castle walls are falling apart and soon wages will go down.

People that got comfortable writing average CRUD applications are about to be stomped by a massive stampede.


Right now there is shortage of qualified software engineers in India and many companies are finding it harder to hire in India.

Also the cost in India is also increasing and running your operations remote is not simple.


And we have hopes of greater growth in domestic demand...

I dream of the day when the student in cs for the money will reject the faangs of today during poor races, and instead join a home grown startup.


Same arguments in the late 90s and early 2000s.

After which software salaries continued to rise dramatically.


Indians have already taken a lot of tech jobs. Amazon,Microsoft,Adobe, Atlassain, Salesforce,Goldman Sachs, Google all have dev centers in India. And not to forget people of Indian descent are literally everywhere there is tech.


You have a site like https://www.geeksforgeeks.org/ (of Indian origin) full of leaked interviews.

Take for example: https://www.geeksforgeeks.org/visa-inc-interview-experience-...

Now employers face a difficult situation: do you want your interview to be published on the Internet? should you design a unique interview for each candidate? should you enforce interview NDAs?


And tech salaries in the US continued to rise in spite of that.




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