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Probably yea


A Taiwanese war immediately means a naval blockade, the us won’t be able to lift it with any certainty. There is 0 interest in a hot war with China among Americans. I doubt we’ll see any American military action that could lead to a deployment other than naval.


> I doubt we’ll see any American military action that could lead to a deployment other than naval.

Err, you other points aside - that's how you'd contest a nail blockade, with an opposing naval force.


Outright sinking more than a couple Chinese naval vessels would lead to a conflict Americans aren’t interested in.


The US government is more than willing to go to war to keep the world's chip supply out of China's hands. They're also pretty good at ginning up support back home.


The Chinese would be the ones to sink American vessels first. You don't simply declare a blockade, you enforce it. By sinking American ships that don't accept your blockade.




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