Ask HN: Near future climate change scenarios?

giantg2 · on July 24, 2022

I think this won't work as you expect. Most events are going to happen slowly. We're talking about events that take decades since global natural changes are typically measured in centuries or millenia. It won't provide the imminent big bang you're looking for.

Also, different people think it will be fine for different reasons. There are people who don't believe such changes will happen, or that humans aren't responsible, or that technology will save us. You would have to convince them from separate angles.

logicalmonster · on July 25, 2022

> I'm looking for possible realistic near future scenarios regarding climate change to communicate better with people who think everything's going to be fine.

A realistic scenario is that "climate change" is going to be used as a catch-all argument for politically enabling mass-migration to certain areas. These are man-made economic and sociological disasters though.

As far as actual disasters go, depending on how long you've lived, you'd have already seen these and other doomsday climate predictions fail to come to pass.

> there would be a new ice age

> global warming would make much of the planet uninhabitable

> acid rain would render many cities unlivable

> many coastal cities would already be underwater

> changing climate would create new large scale storm patterns that would devastate large areas.

Throwing new doomsday fan-fiction onto the list might be entertaining, but isn't going to be terribly persuasive to climate change skeptics given the results so far.

muzani · on July 25, 2022

It depends where you live. In Southeast Asia (which is mostly islands and beaches), the immediate effect might be entire states turning into islands and major population centers like Jakarta sinking.

This was a pretty good write up, because the theory was enforced by flooding along the red areas last year: https://www.therakyatpost.com/living/2019/11/06/9-msian-citi...