The 2-yr/10-yr treasury yields curve has inverted

[elsewhen]

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/03/31/2-year-treasury-yield-tops-10-year-rate-a-yield-curve-inversion-that-could-signal-a-recession.html

[harambae]

It historically can still take 18 months for the recession to begin, however

Edit brief stats https://preview.redd.it/j1oowk7s7tq81.jpg?width=640&crop=sma...

[anm89]

One thing to note, while this has a long history of co-occuring with a recession, the recession generally comes after an extended inversion uninverts. The recession rarely occurs with the inversion itself.