Europe unification will crack within a decade. Southern Europe is strangled by euro without effective ability to shift course. It will be okay, like brexit.
Can you elaborate a bit? Doesn't the Ukraine/Russia conflict imposing an existential threat on Europe change your calculation? For example, we see Germany re-militarizing [1], which would have been unthinkable even a few years ago. Security trumps economics.
Since you brought up trump, he was on to something when he questioned why USA still runs NATO. Europe can provide for their own defense. USA can still sell them equipment.
If the EU provide for its own defense, i guarantee you it won't buy American. Now that the UK is out, Eu main militaries are French and Italian, two countries with major arms dealer. You can be certain that if USA leave the helm, all deals for the European Army will benefit those two.
I call bullshit. Southern Europe ( Spain, Portugal, Italy, Greece, because they're the only ones on the euro) have had drastic success in Covid stimulus negotiations, and look well poised to apply it well. And if you look at the political situation there, there are no big eurosceptic parties with consistent ( not a one time fluke) success. Especially with the devolving security situation, and post-Covid, the EU is only going to get more important and needed by European countries.
