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I don't agree, just want to provide some context

> 4.2% unemployment rate, which is amazing given where we were a year ago

That's not exactly an accurate way to describe what's happening...

Look at the 25 year trends:

https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/employed-persons

https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/employment-rate

59% of the population is currently employed, down from 65% in 2000. We're down ~2.5% from where we were in 2020. Which doesn't exactly seems to jive with the reported "unemployment rate" - https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/unemployment-rate

In 2020, 158M were employed, now 155M are employed (with millions increase in population). We're probably looking at a gap of at least 5 million.

Average working hours have not increased:

https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/average-weekly-ho...




Fewer people are in the workforce, this is not debatable.

What is debatable is whether that matters. The unemployment rate is based on those seeking work, not those who are of age to work.

Seems to me, if unemployment an federal aid is not the culprit, then the simpler explanation is wages.

Wages are too low. This is precisely what the blog writer's argument is against: increasing wages.

Supply and demand didn't stop being a thing and your charts prove it.


There are people genuinely exiting the workforce, however. Biggest of note is those over 65 that were previously working part or full time that have decided to rely solely on retirement income.[0] You have have a lot of exits due to childcare related issues.[1] The workforce has genuinely contracted during the pandemic.

[0] https://www.npr.org/2021/08/23/1028993124/these-older-worker...

[1] https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-10-09/child-car...

ETA: Looking on the other side, there is likely some unknowable number of 16-18 year olds that are not entering the workforce yet, that would have pre-pandemic.




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