Just want to highlight I didn't feel that about this article at all, so thank you. Whether you agree or disagree (I think there are reasons to fall on either side), I feel like the article raised an important point in a fair manner that hasn't really been discussed much in a rational way.
So a really poor article in my opinion.
It's NOT that I want to bring back these articles that have been flagged. Indeed, oftentimes I'm doing the flagging. It's that I see so many articles that cover important Covid strategy topics, but instead of looking at the pros/cons of any individual strategy is a dispassionate manner, I see the same old "Forcing masks is killing our freedom!!" or "Not staying at home is killing grandma!!" shit.
All I'm saying was that it was nice to see an article that, in my opinion, looked at some of the downsides of Covid lockdowns in a pretty rational manner without falling in the blatant tribalism I see everywhere these days.
They assume that since high gdp = high life expectancy, short term gdp fall = deaths. I don't think it follows that short term gdp trends would have the same effect as long term.
I'm not saying the article is neccesarily wrong (i have no idea), just that the argument was not compelling.
That said, killing several million extra people without any forms of lockdown would have also had very serious economic repercussions. People would have started voluntarily staying home even if it meant quitting their jobs and thus presumably making them ineligible for unemployment insurance etc. Some stay at home orders might have actually minimized economic disruption, though we simply don’t know.
Political, too. Some heads would be bound to roll after that election cycle, in Argentina the ruling party that mishandled the economic and sanitary aspects of the campaign, lost about 30~40% of their electorate and indirectly caused the emergence of a liberal movement in a country that previously was overwhelmingly pro-welfare state.
I think the political consequences would be more of an incentive not to try this, the economic part is just a statistic.