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Henry Kissinger is a war criminal. I wouldn't trust any of his advice on geopolitics, much less his opinions about AI.

The only thing I take away from this news is that Eric Schmidt has an even weaker moral compass than I previously thought.



“Who controls the food supply controls the people; who controls the energy can control whole continents; who controls money can control the world” — Henry Kissinger


I can't find evidence that he said this. Do you have a source?


Nor can I.

Publications either fail to reference their source, or give secondary references, or give incorrect references.

For an example of the last, https://ccp.org.au/content/2-exhibitions/1-all/0-fertile-gro... cites "Kissinger, H., National Security Council. (1974). The Kissinger Report: NSSM-200 Implications of Worldwide Population Growth for U.S. Security Interests", but I could not find that quote in https://pdf.usaid.gov/pdf_docs/PCAAB500.pdf .

I looked at that one because Google Scholar says that "Fertile Ground" document I linked to is from 1992. Internal evidence shows it's no older than 2019.

The oldest actual mention in Google Scholar is from 2006 at http://www.libertydollar.org/news-stories/pdfs/1161050727.pd... , without attribution. Note that https://mediabiasfactcheck.com/global-research/ refers to the organization as 'a Canadian conspiracy website'.

In 2007 there are a few more citations, like http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/download?doi=10.1.1.532... . That in turn cites WikiQuote. WikiQuote currently has that quote in the Talk page under "None of these quotes should be reinstated in the article unless a source is found."

I looked at the next few years of publications which use that quote. None give a primary reference or even provide a citation.

This pattern strongly suggests that Kissinger did not say it. Clearly it must have been Lincoln or Churchill. /s


Saying harsh but true things makes him a war criminal?


No, masterminding the illegal bombing of two countries (Loas and Cambodia during the Vietnam/American War) with horrendous long term outcomes for the civilian population and also plotting coups and unconditional support for brutal dictatorships that kill their own citizens with impunity makes you one.


Yes Vietnam was a shitshow -- but it was Nixon who was the chief executive who decided what to do. I have no love for Kissinger, but his job was giving advice (no matter how cold) on how to win the absurd war. My point is, of all the players in that saga, Kissinger seems to get a greater portion of disdain.


Kissinger gets more disdain because, unlike Nixon, much of the political establishment continues to treat him as a national hero.


His direct involvement in an atrocity-filled period of US foreign policy is what gets him called a war criminal, not his pithy quotes.


No


At least when this book bombs, it won’t be a secret.


Underrated comment.


When Eric Schmidt was still active in leadership at Google he brought Kissinger in for internal fireside chats at least a couple times.

It was entertaining to watch the internal memegen when this went down.


That's kind of a weird argument. I can understand not buying the book, not wanting to reward him, but it seems like a pretty separate dimension from "trusting his advice". I have no reason to think alleged "war criminals" are more or less trustworthy than the average politician.


"Anything that flies on anything that moves" -Henry Kissingers policy for attacking the Vietnamese


> I wouldn't trust any of his advice on geopolitics

Numerous choices of his as Secretary of State were nearly indefensible, sure, but often as a product of his involvement and meticulous work in every foreign affairs matter, where everything had to be exact, and to fit into the grander strategy that he envisioned for the United States.

As one small example: while H.W. Bush was able to show his goodness and his morality by fighting for Taiwan's role in his role as Ambassador to the UN, Kissinger's controversial pro-PRC stance, however much I despise the PRC government today and then, was what was necessary for the time.

His administration's decision in using the rift that already existed between the PRC and the USSR to further pull them away from one another and open up diplomatic relations with the West instead is a major reason that China has become as powerful as it is today, which is an understandable cause of criticism. At the same time, we can't know what would've happened otherwise, but it's easy to imagine that the USSR could have kept up their Iron Curtain much longer, and the Cold War could've gone in a very different direction.

We can look at other controversial decisions like Allende, the Yom Kippur War, and Vietnam in the same light.

These are the hard decisions one grapples with as Secretary of State. Kissinger's own history as a Jewish immigrant who witnessed Nazism led to this rationalistic pessimism, and this idea that the best state we can hope for is teetering on the edge, slowly relieving tension a la detente, and that true utopia is unachievable.

You can disagree with most of his decisions, but to not even consider his advice after all he's experienced seems unwise.

Edit: Questionably cited Taiwan as democratic at the time — it was a military dictatorship as another commenter mentioned. H.W. Bush's decision of supporting the 'true' government of China was the moral, easily swallowed one, that was much more popular with the American public. Taiwan was heralded to the American people as a potential democratic alternative to the PRC, though it was not a democracy at the time, and so citing the decision as supporting democracy is questionable.


> As one small example: while H.W. Bush was able to show his goodness and his morality by fighting for Taiwan's role and for democracy in his role as Ambassador to the UN, Kissinger's controversial pro-PRC stance, however much I despise the PRC government today and then, was what was necessary for the time.

Bizarre framing, given that Taiwan wasn't a democracy in 1971 but rather a military dictatorship.


“We can’t know what would have happened if $historicalfigure hadn’t done $badthing,” is a very weak line of argument. One could similarly suggest that the Nazi Holocaust was better than what might have happened under other circumstances.


China's rise to superpower is bad. The Soviet Union surviving and spreading its influence to kill millions more is worse.

If you actually want to argue that the Holocaust was the better alternative, I'd be interested to hear your case on what that alternative was.

There's a reason that Kissinger was afraid of too much reliance on data, and that's why. As a German Jew, Kissinger experienced the start of the Holocaust. I imagine he's more adept at distinguishing bad from worse than either of us are.


What's any of this experience got to do with AI or tech?


Sorry, it's more of me being tired of hearing him dismissed as a war criminal with nothing that can be gleaned from him — the comment above claimed he had nothing to teach in geopolitics (I had quoted it).

I imagine that nearly everyone with a unique perspective is capable of having interesting thoughts on AI and technology with how ubiquitous it's become. If you'd like me to venture a couple guesses as reasons for his relevance:

(1) AI will become closely intertwined with government and governmental processes. (2) There will be an increasingly asymmetric power relationship growing with the power of AI.

He's very experienced with government, with asymmetric power relationships, and he's notorious for his belief in analyzing more than data in decisions, whereas AI will lead us towards a further reliance on data. If every government eventually has a form of AGI, it will be a fascinating and terrifying geopolitical climate akin to every government having a nuclear warhead. He knows what that evolution is like.

Anyway, my conjecture on the scrapped book aside, here's an article that allegedly led to the book [1].

[1] https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2019/08/henry-k...


> We can look at other controversial decisions like Allende, the Yom Kippur War, and Vietnam in the same light.

Isn't it basically like saying Xi Jinping made a controversial decision to wipe out the Uyghurs?


I'm not an expert on Xi's policy and if there is such a light with which to view those decisions, I'm not privy to it.

Kissinger was a man who made a lot of hard decisions, and that meant a lot of controversial decisions — decisions that killed many people. In most of those decisions (not all to be honest), however, we can clearly see how more destruction may have come from choosing another path.

The Uyghur genocide is Xi's attempt to strengthen stability in China through forced assimilation, which I personally have a hard time to stomach, especially without this even being justified by any recent conflict. There were a handful of anti-Chinese terror attacks in the 2000s-2010s following the Urumqi riots, but there are plenty of countries experiencing isolated incidents of terrorism from an ethnic minority that haven't sent that minority to a camp.


Two regs, less than 30 min old, both trying to launder the bullshit Kissinger did. Odd.

> hese are the hard decisions one grapples with as Secretary of State.

SoS of an imperialist country. During a time of America's greatest atrocities. And during a time where no one could challenge US hegemony. There is no statecraft to be learned here. There is nothing to learn from him other than what a piece of shit he is.


I mean, just admit that you don't want this hegemony to exist on the first place. Let people decide if they've enjoyed the dividends that have flowed from being the uncontested center of the world for a century.

But let's not pretend that there's some alternative world out there where we could have had clean hands, but not ended up in some communist dystopia where most of us wouldn't be here, because our parents or grandparents were liquidated.


> but not ended up in some communist dystopia where most of us wouldn't be here, because our parents or grandparents were liquidated.

Wow, that really took a quick turn from apologism into weird tinfoil-hattery


I'm not the above commenter, but I imagine this take is not so tinfoil-y.

It's due to the Cold War we were experiencing around that time, and the fact that U.S. hegemony was only checked by a truly evil force (in its good nature, to be apologist). The USSR would have loved for the United States to end up the same type of place, with many millions dead or permanently interned in camps.

I imagine you're younger than to have experienced that type of fear, but it was real fear and a real threat. The questionable and bloody decisions our government made was largely to fight that threat and ensure that wouldn't happen to us.


Yeah, this is has just been the history of revolutionary communism everywhere it's been tried. IMHO completely worth fighting against, even with imperfect measures. I don't blame the Chileans for stopping it, and we were right to help. The alternatives were known to be far worse.

btw Allende was in office for 3 years before he was deposed.


> history of revolutionary communism everywhere it's been tried.

"revolutionary" is a clever way of excluding all of the successful models of socialism - like the scandanavian countries which consistently rank as the happiest countries on the planet.


Yes, it's a good way to stick to the cases where communism has been tried at 10-100M+ populations, and not get distracted by tiny, ethnically homogeneous, and as-arguable-as-not socialist countries like Norway or Sweden. Those too are hardly models for the US, but not for the reason that they required mass slaughter of one-third their populations.


As a Swedish citizen, I would like to note that we are not socialist — basically nobody in the country wants to be claimed as some example of socialism. The highest income tax rate is nearly equivalent to that of the US. :)


> You can disagree with most of his decisions, but to not even consider his advice after all he's experienced seems unwise.

He was a shitty statesman, and a laughably bad political consultant.

For just how a "high class" consultant he was, look for how he absolutely hilariously blew the Rockefeller's plans to enter politics.

Saying him simply being "unwise" would not make him any justice.

> These are the hard decisions one grapples with as Secretary of State. Kissinger's own history as a Jewish immigrant who witnessed Nazism led to this rationalistic pessimism, and this idea that the best state we can hope for is teetering on the edge, slowly relieving tension a la detente, and that true utopia is unachievable.

Traumatic experiences can change a person for both good, or worse. In this case, this bitterness, and insecurity definitely turned a person for worse.


Is George Bush a war criminal too?


It's just a matter of opinion. Actually, he is Nobel Peace Prize Laureate, as well as Obama. And, if he actually has some good insides, why not just consider these?


Obama winning the Peace Prize while bombing people was the moment I realized Nobel Prizes are a joke. Politicized Orwellian doublespeak.

It was given to him less than eight months after he became president, mostly based on his campaign rhetoric. Really just massively embarrassing for the Nobel committee in hindsight.

The Nobel Secretary regrets that award. https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-34277960




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