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Clearly it’s failed at being a stable value


It's impossible for any currency to be stable in the period before it gains mainstream acceptance. Fiat currencies share the same fate


The fundamental problem with BTC's stability is why spend it today if tomorrow it will be worth +20% more?


You're right, it is not a good currency today. In the interim period, BTC is extremely risky, volatile, and not a stable store of value. The value proposition is that:

- People will want to adopt BTC as a mainstream currency in future, for all the reasons I listed earlier

- When BTC is adopted as a mainstream currency, the value of each BTC will be X (in relation to raw materials, manufactured goods, etc)

- Because today's price of BTC is much smaller than X, you stand to make a huge profit if you buy BTC, and it later becomes a mainstream currency

Ie, BTC is a startup that if successful, everyone will want to use in the future. And that makes it a very valuable investment for angels/VCs today


> - People will want to adopt BTC as a mainstream currency in future, for all the reasons I listed earlier

How can this happen if the price never stabilizes (because no one wants to spend what they have)?

> - When BTC is adopted as a mainstream currency

How can this happen if the transaction costs are $10+? To pay for a Starbucks coffee, it would cost $5 for the drink and $15 for the transaction fee.

> - Because today's price of BTC is much smaller than X, you stand to make a huge profit if you buy BTC, and it later becomes a mainstream currency

How can it become a mainstream currency if everyone treats it like a speculative investment and the transaction costs prevent it from used in "micro" transactions?

The entire system disincentivises use as a "mainstream currency"




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