On: Israeli startup claims Covid-19 likely originated in a lab, willing to bet on it

[rjsw]

A startup providing conspiracy theories as a service.

[chillacy → rjsw]

Their other conclusions are all pretty sensible. E.g. Does the MMR vaccine cause autism? Ans: no https://www.rootclaim.com/claims/does-the-mmr-measles-mumps-...

This technique looks reminiscent of "superforecasting".

Caveat that their conclusion hinges on their assumptions, and we would expect that about 2/10 of their 80% predictions would actually be false if we could score them all.