He's not wrong, we're very far. And looking at past "progress" it seems that we'll get there very slowly. So it seems long-term.
Except people are bad at exponential processes. Yet when economics drives us we are suddenly good at making them happen. And this combo seems to be what makes these existential risks. (Like climate change, or other manifestations of the coordination problem.)
Except people are bad at exponential processes. Yet when economics drives us we are suddenly good at making them happen. And this combo seems to be what makes these existential risks. (Like climate change, or other manifestations of the coordination problem.)