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It is fair to say this group is the reason we didn’t have an even worse outbreak, and it was solely due to defying the Federal officials:

https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2020/03/em...

“By Feb. 25, Dr. Chu and her colleagues could not bear to wait any longer. They began performing coronavirus tests, without government approval.

What came back confirmed their worst fear. They quickly had a positive test from a local teenager with no recent travel history. The coronavirus had already established itself on American soil without anybody realizing it.”




This story strikes me as off. It runs counter to every other aspect of the virus we focus on. Specifically, if it was already spreading in schools, then why don't we see scores of critical kids and parents? With how contagious this is, I find it fairly unconvincing that it was just that student.

Combined with symptoms taking about a week to present, this was in community spread for a while. Yet, here in WA, the deaths figure is still 92% over sixty years old. I don't know the percent from long term care facilities. (I would love that stat.)

Then the question is at what point did it break into long term care facilities? And could we have done something to strengthen their protection?

With a further question of what, exactly, causes it to go severe.




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