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Ancient Egyptian pregnancy test survived millenia because it worked (2018) (howstuffworks.com)
194 points by vezycash on April 23, 2020 | hide | past | favorite | 92 comments


> Researchers currently poring over the papyri in the Carlsberg Collection are finding that medical information discovered in ancient Egypt didn't disappear when the Library of Alexandria burned

That's because almost nothing was lost when the library at Alexandria burned. Because there was almost nothing there to burn at the time. The library had long been in decline by this time period, and there were many other great centers of learning in the world which had extensive libraries. Why does this myth still persist?


>> Researchers currently poring over the papyri in the Carlsberg Collection are finding that medical information discovered in ancient Egypt didn't disappear when the Library of Alexandria burned

> That's because almost nothing was lost when the library at Alexandria burned. Because there was almost nothing there to burn at the time. The library had long been in decline by this time period, and there were many other great centers of learning in the world which had extensive libraries. Why does this myth still persist?

Because it's a rather romantic myth, and it's repeated by influential people in still-prominent works (e.g. https://old.reddit.com/r/badhistory/comments/1nqrl0/carl_sag...).

The actual source howstuffworks.com cites for that section doesn't mention the myth (https://sciencenordic.com/denmark-videnskabdk/unpublished-eg...). My guess is the "freelance science writer" who wrote this piece interpolated it for color from a memory of a pop-science source like the one in the critique above.


I also learned it in school on history class, as probably most other people. (And I believe they still teach it). Good to get an update.


Can anyone verify or contradict this, with reliable sources?

I've spent my whole life believing that it was a disaster when the library at Alexandria burned. Is it possible it wasn't a big deal? How do we know?


I posted the following scholarly overview in response to a different comment. There are sources if you want to drill down further.

https://www.open.edu/openlearn/ocw/pluginfile.php/437863/mod...

The short of it is that Alexandria, including its libraries, declined as a center of scholarship after Ptolemy VIII exiled or killed all the intellectuals who worked there in 145 BCE. While the library survived, subsequent administration didn't maintain the institution. Whatever insults the physical institution suffered or when the buildings were finally destroyed, the institution of legend died from neglect long before then.


> subsequent administration didn't maintain the institution

Also papyrus has a limited shelf life, so even the books need to be maintained (copied) to maintain them in the long run, so if the institution is failing, the books will be lost in the medium/long term, even without direct destruction of the library


https://historyforatheists.com/2017/07/the-destruction-of-th...

History for atheists by an atheist historian. Lots of references in this article.


To contextualize why "history for atheists by an atheist historian" is a thing...

> After over ten years of seeing supposed “rationalists”, most of them with no background in or even knowledge of history, using patent pseudo history as the basis for arguments against and attacks on religion, I felt someone needed to start correcting the popular misconceptions about history which are rife among many vocal atheist activists. I also felt there needed to be some push-back by a fellow unbeliever against several fringe theories and hopelessly outdated ideas which have no credibility among professional scholars and specialists, but which seem to be accepted almost without question by many or even most anti-theistic atheists.

https://historyforatheists.com/about-the-author-and-a-faq/


It’s surprising to me that the author finds it improbable that we don’t know many ancient writers. It’s always been my default assumption that the vast majority of all works and writers of antiquity were lost. I would expect that, like today, there is a relatively small number of hugely popular works, which had a decent chance of surviving, and a massive long tail of less popular works that were relatively obscure, especially over the time scale, didn’t get copied, and so therefore were lost. Of course we might get a few random selections from the long tail, but not many compared to the number of total works. I would have supposed there was easily a ratio of 100:1, at least.


Probably because I've never heard anyone contradict it until just now. If you have some reliable references, I'd be happy to learn from them!


> If you have some reliable references, I'd be happy to learn from them!

The problem is that we have no reliable references on the destruction of this library. Written sources contradict each other, and archaeology has nothing.

- According to 3 Roman authors, Julius Caesar burned it. But other Roman authors vigorously deny it. - Even if no book did burn at this time, centuries of decline followed. The town's activity went down, and other libraries had greater fame.

- When Aurelian took the city (anno 272, thanks Wikipedia), the building was certainly destroyed (among many others) if it still existed.

- There were very late claims that the library was destroyed be the Arab invasion, but this is extremely unlikely since the written sources on the library's activity stopped just before the probable destruction by Aurelian.

In France most people believe in an Arab destruction. For instance, this well known newspaper had to write an justification[^1] after many readers denied the destruction by the Romans mentioned in a previous article. I suppose it is not a mere coincidence that the prejudice against Arabs is very common in this country. [^1]: https://www.lemonde.fr/archives/article/1990/02/10/qui-a-bru...



That's not great. A quick skim says that the number of books were probably (edit typo: overestimated) by a fair bit:

"The actual numbers were probably lower, perhaps by as much as one order of magnitude"

Reference to this says "a library that was a tenth of this size [sc. the 500,000 in Ps.-Aristeas] would still have been very large in antiquity") so it was a large library. I have to say, claims of hundreds of thousand weren't really plausible anyway.

Second it doesn't say it was dwarfed elsewhere at the time. It does say "The Library of Alexandria, however comprehensive for its time, was not on a scale comparable with the great research libraries of the twentieth century[0]". Which is fair, but doesn't support what you say.

finally it doesn't say (that I can see) that it was empty when destroyed. The guy does say there's now way it would have survived a long time due to the humidity and climate it was in, but doesn't suggest (AFAIKS) that it was nearly empty when it was destroyed.

[0] well duh

So I'm going to go with the more common view for now. Thanks anyway.


Alexandria also mostly had copies, they were famous for stealing books from arriving ships in order to make copies for a while there.


Incoming ships got searched for books because there was a law in place made by one of the Ptolemies that any ships coming in would be required by law to lend any books on board to the library to make copies. Sometimes, the scribes would keep the original and give the copy back because they would be hard to distinguish.


Since we can probably assume the copies of these books were made without the consent of the original author or publisher, would that make these pirate ships?


No, but it would make Alexandria the pirate bay.


> Sometimes, the scribes would keep the original and give the copy back because they would be hard to distinguish.

Copying books back when you had to do everything by hand and doing so fast enough that you could return the book in time? I would expect less "hard to distinguish" and more "barely legible".


Galen is the only source for this practice. Most scholars in the relevant areas find his claim dubious.


Considering how few people could read and how expensive books would have been, I would expect that those books would have been valuable cargo (as opposed to personal items) and not willingly released anyway.


The paper in question: "ON AN ANCIENT EGYPTIAN METHOD OF DIAGNOSING PREGNANCY AND DETERMINING FOETAL SEX", Ghalioungui et al 1963 https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1034829/

I'm mostly surprised that they cite two previous experiments by Manger (1933, "Untersuchungen zum Problem der Geschlects diagnose aus Schwangerenhamn" https://www.gwern.net/docs/biology/1933-manger.pdf ) and Hoffmann (1934, "Versuche zur Schwangerschaftsdiagnose aus dem Harn" https://www.gwern.net/docs/biology/1934-hoffmann.pdf ). Who knew? Truly an example of Cowen's second law.


The pregnancy testing has been tested on livestock (opposite result, pregnancy inhibits growth)

https://www.researchgate.net/publication/280624411_Germinati...

http://www.veterinaryworld.org/Vol.3/March/Seed%20Germinatio...

The Magician and Leech by Warren R Dawson doesn't seem to be online. Which makes it seem like a pretty cool book.

I see no proof their was an ancient Egyptian pregnancy test, all articles seem to revolve around the one story. Seems like a back history story.

Hieratic Papyri from Kahun and Gurob is online (page 11 onwards for the gynaecological scrolls, it's interesting)-

http://www.etana.org/sites/default/files/coretexts/15145.pdf


The main results of the experiment in the first paper is:

They used 48 samples

* 2 male -> no grow

* 6 non-pregnant females -> no grow

* 40 pregnant females -> 12 no grow | 5 poor grow | 23 grow

Mi guess is that in the press article they calculate 28/40 = 70%.


So no false positives? That’s probably why they kept on using it - if it grows, you can be sure that you’re pregnant.


I can imagine it might be easy to optimize this test a bit...

By repeating the test every few days, and looking at the patterns of grow/no-grow you would probably get a much better result.


With only 6 (8?) cases, the naive bound of the false positives is ~15% and if there is some statistician nearby the bound will be much higher. (I guess close to ~25%, but I'm too lazy to look up the correct calculation.)


And if it doesn’t grow you can repeat the test in a week or two - even modern tests have this issue since early in the pregnancy hormone levels might not be high enough yet.

Regarding false positives - since you’re detecting hormones that are not produced outside of pregnancy time, then the only possible reason for false positive could be some genetic condition, or maybe some serious endocrinologic disease, maybe ovarian cancer.


Kind of a tangent (but potentially useful and little known) is the "baker's method" of male contraception.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Marthe_Voegeli

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Heat-based_contraception

> It has long been observed that men who work in professions that expose them to heat in the nether regions: bakers, cooks, steamworkers; have had a hard time fathering children. Interestingly, men in these professions were observed to start having children after retiring or finding a new job. Based on these observations, Dr. Martha Vogeli [sic, her name ends with 'e': Marthe] ran a long set of experiments starting in the 1940’s in India. After trying all possible combinations, Dr. Vogeli found a consistent method for inducing temporary infertility in men by a series of hot baths. In short, men who sat in hot water for 45 minutes a day for 3 weeks were protected for at least 6 months.

~ https://www.dontcookyourballs.com/heat-based-contraception-n...


I am wondering if my MBP on my lap was the root cause of my fertility issues. I can't believe I didn't google this before.


Mate! This is well known! My mum told me this a decade ago https://scholar.google.com/scholar?hl=en&as_sdt=0%2C5&q=lapt...

I'm mad it wasn't well known enough that everyone happens to know it.

Also cycling.


Is it reversible? And does a MBP also reduce libido?


The ‘baker’s method’ post above suggests is reversible. As for libido, if you’re roasting your ‘nads enough that they stop producing gametes then it seems reasonable that they might temporarily do producing other things too, so maybe?


That's why you should use a Linux Laptop with Libreboot firmware and arch linux and not an emasculating MBP.


Or just a plastic-body laptop with the heat vent off to the side.


Linux laptop because real men need higher temperatures? ;)


It certainly is possible. I learned about this after teasing my roommate for using a "lap desk" — now I use one myself for this reason.


Wasn't there a comic or meme or something about this exact premise?


This was initially surprising.

But it is obvious that the temperature of the balls matter. This is why we put it outside the body, have a special device (the ball sack) to keep it at the right temperature, and then load the whole structure with sufficient pain signals that the man will be very protective of it. Given that the temperature matters that much, it isn't surprising that making it too warm anyways is likely to create infertility.


a. Forty-five minutes is a long time to sit in a bath, and a long time to keep water hot.

b. Long ago, I read that wearing jockey shorts rather than boxers put one at a slightly higher risk for testicular cancer, presumably because the jockeys keep the freight warmer. Now, the risk of testicular cancer is pretty slight to start with, but I whether the hot-bath method raises it.


It's not that long if you have a spa. I have a family friend who were having trouble getting pregnant with their second child. They tried everything and took over a year, but finally the dr suggested that the husband stoped using the spa... it worked


I switched to some sexy cargo shorts, and my wife was pregnant a month later

Coincidence? I think not


that's one hell of a domain name


I've wondered before if Japan's love for hot, daily baths has played some part in its low birthrate.


Maybe originally, but not anymore. Demographers regularly survey women in various countries about how many children they want to have, and in Japan women want to have on average 1 child, which means they’re having that many children by choice and not accident.


Japanese women are having on average one child. They want two.

> Japan is one such country that discrepancy between intended and observed levels of fertility is relatively large. For example, calculated from a nationally representative survey in 2010 (IPSS 2011), the average number of intended children among women aged 40-44 is 1.84, while their observed cohort total fertility is estimated to be 1.48 . These discrepancies between intended and observed fertility suggest social constraints on meeting intentions.

https://paa2014.princeton.edu/papers/141630


Ah, I seem to have been misinformed.


Honestly this seems a damn sight safer than most forms of female birth control. Maybe I should register "cookyourballs".


It's inconsistent, you would need easy & cheap at home sperm count testing to be reliable, like we have with pregnancy tests.

With other forms you can see results via period activity reduction or increasing (in case of copper IUD) or physical breakage or feeling changes.


I wonder if the jacuzzi people love or hate this.


I imagine love


"We call this jet the ball cooker"


Make sure to recruit Olivia Wilde née Cockburn for the advertising


An hour for 3 weeks, what the hell.


For some people, that might be an easier sell than 18 years of child support.


Does it affects cultures with regular hot baths ? Japan people are said to enjoy that. Also .. saunas ?


If you stay in an onsen for 45 minutes, you’d probably have bigger issues than infertility — such as passing out and drowning. They of course come at different temperatures, whether they are artificial or natural, but onsen are HOT. After 10 or so minutes it becomes pretty unbearable. Most people take small breaks in between soaks, but even then a cumulative 45 minutes is a bit much.

I’d be more interested in how this affects sauna cultures. In particular Korea where it’s quite common to sleep in a sauna (jimjilbang) for a couple hours. Although people don’t do it daily.


I've hung out in onsen for about an hour at a time. Sometimes I raise my upper body out if I start feeling dizzy, but it's not completely unbearable. I also took sizzling hot baths all the time as a kid and don't feel the heat, although I'm sure I'm probably being cooked.

This could be why I have no kids.


>I’d be more interested in how this affects sauna cultures.

Sauna works differently than hot bath. In sauna you sweat profusely in order to maintain your body temperature, and your blood vessels expand, and the heart works hard actively pumping the blood thus avoiding local overheat of any specific body part. Plus you take a cold shower or jump into cold water right out of sauna :)

>to sleep in a sauna (jimjilbang) for a couple hours

nobody can sleep in sauna for a couple of hours :) The best i saw some few guys did in the local Korean sauna is about 30-40 minutes at 180F. In Korean jimjilbang there is also usually something like a room with warmed floor where you do go for a nice relaxed sleep after/between sauna room visits. Damn that coronavirus lockdown, i haven't been for the sauna for like 6 weeks already...


> nobody can sleep in sauna for a couple of hours :)

You're right, I should have been more clear. I was referring to the warmed floor area you mentioned. I've spent quite a lot of time in jimjilbangs back in Seoul.

Currently in Tokyo...Once the travel restrictions are lifted, I'm on the first thing with an engine headed back to Seoul!


If you don’t go blind when you get up, you weren’t in long enough.


oh ok, fun fact ... I never took one and had no idea how warm/hot they'd be.


You have to really go out of your way to keep water hot for 45 minutes.


A similar method, that is detecting hCG in urine, was used in the early 20th century by injecting into xenopus frog.

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2211252/pdf/brm...

Another recent article: https://www.smithsonianmag.com/smart-news/doctors-used-to-us...


I always like to think about the first person who thought of this. "Hmm let's pee on some wheat and barley, I wonder if this will prove if the woman is pregnant".


It's probably something more like the wheat and barley was waste and they peed in the same area they dumped their waste.

One family noticed their barley was sprouting, while another's didn't. Shortly after, the family with the sprouts had a baby. It could have taken generations for this to be actually used as a pregnancy test.


It's also possible that there was some theory behind it that was wrong but happened to lead to an accurate technique.


I was going to suggest this. The Romans for example took a lot of medical interest in urine.


It's still a remarkable observation. Presumably urination was a private thing then as it is now. It seems like a coin toss between some 'shaman' suggesting it and it turned out to be true vs the many observations that had to happen.

Women generally have a good idea, perhaps some women started to observe it as they maybe didn't want more children and didn't want men to know about it and we worried about each and every possible indication that could reveal it.


Urination isn't really private in most of the world outside the West.


It may also have been observed in livestock.


Or Claire from Outlander told them.


It was a different time, with magic thinking.

Urine was (and is) considered to be strong magically tied to the person, so it was on focus for shamans and priests since ages. And used in combination with many other materials, to heal, to foresee, to curse ..

And given, that urine does contain many personal informations, there is truth to it ..


Some woman peed on wheat/barley while working outside, it sprouted. She noticed and later found out she is pregnant. Theory formed, gossip did rest to let others know too.


There's also the strong link between fertility and spring.


Is there a link to the study where they got the 70%? If they used a group with a 50% of pregnant women then 70% is not too much. Also it would be nice to know the number of women to estimate the error in the 70%. *If they had 10 women in total and they get the right result in 7, it is not impressive at all.)

Also, the weeks of pregnancy are important. This test is useful proably in before the week 6, but I think the homones level change with time.


I'm trying to picture a bunch of archaeologists deciphering some Egyptian papyri, and then going to some hospital (or maybe university) to enlist women who would be willing to pee in some bags with wheat and barley. In order to assess the accuracy of an ancient wives' tale.


There's more about this in an Atlantic article:

> One of the oldest descriptions of a pregnancy test comes from ancient Egypt, where women who suspected they were pregnant would urinate on wheat and barley seeds: If the wheat grew, they believed, it meant the woman was having a girl; the barley, a boy; if neither plant sprouted, she wasn’t pregnant at all. Avicenna, a 10th-century Persian philosopher, would pour sulfur over women’s urine, believing that the telltale sign was worms springing from the resulting mixture. In 16th-century Europe, specialists known as “piss prophets” would read urine like tea leaves, claiming to know by its appearance alone whether the woman who supplied it was pregnant.

https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2015/06/history-h...


70% is 20% better than random, don't buy that crib yet.


Would need to know how the sample was chosen for that test. If you sample women of reproductive age at random, there's decidedly not a 50/50 chance that she's actually pregnant: by rough estimation it should be about (1.75 [fertility rate] * 9 months [duration of pregnancy] / 30 years [reproductive lifespan] = 4-5%). If you give all of those woman a wheat/barley test and 70% of the positive tests were truly pregnant (implying about 6.25% test positives) that's actually pretty good, roughly 8x better than a coin flip. If you take a sample that's known to be half pregnant and half not pregnant and only 70% of the pregnant women are identified, it's decidedly less good.


So, 100% is 50% better than random? Weird math.


Depends on the true distribution of the classes. Although the naive strategy gets even higher accuracy if the classes are unbalanced.


Sure it's better than flipping a coin, but how does it compare with just making an educated guess?

For some demographics you might get a 70% success rate with something as stupid as "Have you been trying to get pregnant for a few months? If so assume you are."


Might invest in a bushel basket.


We should back up Wikipedia in stone tablets and bury them in various places on earth and on the dark side of the moon, just in case our Library of Alexandria gets burned by an EMP during a nuclear war.


http://longnow.org/ This organization is dedicated to that endeavor.


If I order a bag of whole grain to use for food, is there a way to determine that it has not suffered such indignities? (besides reliance on the plastics industry)


Hmmm.

From plant to combine/harvester, to wagon, to bin, to truck, to elevator, to railcar/barge, to mill, to bag should be an approximate path. I'd say that someone peeing on the bag is most likely to be a problem and you'd notice that. In all other cases, a single person peeing on a couple tons of grain isn't very likely to matter. The ground up dead rats probably affect it more.

IOW, there are bigger things to worry about.


It almost certainly has been pooped on by insects and birds.


Ambient temperature is important. Seeds are more likely to sprout at certain temps, and women are more likely to conceive in certain seasons (spring, for instance... not due to biology, but rather due to cultural/farming/religious cycles.)


Isn't 70% accuracy too close to random (50) to say it works?


Not a fan of the patronizing tone the author uses to describe ancient Egypt. Reeks of chronological snobbery.


Lol, go out and take a walk, we live in pretty good times compared to the rest of history (and civilizations btw). Is it wrong now wrongthink to think that we have it better or at least we've had some material and slight social progress since that era?




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