The actual assumption is that with current social distancing, any outbreak will die down on its own on approximable dynamics. There is good evidence that this is so.
All right, that seems much more reasonable to me. Thought you said the peak for the USA in general was imminent, and that's not at all obvious given that the social distancing policies going forward have yet to be decided.
It might be the case, but that assumes that effective measures to control the epidemic will keep being applied everywhere.
