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Late reply, but yeah, this is roughly my view. I think the Naturalistic Fallacy label should be applied to absolutism: the old/"natural" thing must be good, the new/"unnatural" thing must be bad, both of which are clearly false. But I think there's an argument for taking the history of selection pressures (or lack thereof) into account when making risk assessments. This could also be compared to Chesterton's Fence [0], or even the Lindy Effect [1].

> I am often not equipped to determine if it was a sham funded by industry

Yeah, this is a problem. :( While I trust that there are good actors in most subfields of scientific inquiry, many domains (health in particular) are exorbitantly expensive to empirically research, inevitably leading to perverse incentives, or at least the absence of incentives to do thorough and holistic research.

[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wikipedia:Chesterton%27s_fence

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lindy_effect




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