This information is available for most states at this point (it's sometimes harder to find city data broken out, that varies; every state has Covid data available, published daily or close to it (a few seem to lag by a day)).
Show me the 500-2500 dead people in Texas per day, which is what should be happening if they were seeing the surge. Show me a massive explosion in positive cases and hospitalizations. The fact is, it's not happening.
The testing information has been flawed as a resource in all locations except for a few around the world (eg South Korea, which has been a stellar example). You want to look at the deaths and hospitalizations, the flooding of ICUs in the states. The states I've listed are seeing none of the huge surge that the other high-infection rate climates have. The US isn't hiding tens of thousands of recent Covid deaths from the past week. Our testing has ramped up such that we're able to do near a million tests per week now. If Texas cities were seeing hundreds of daily Covid deaths, it would be everywhere in the news, on social media and so on (as it is in NYC).
Take a look at the SF local metro. Take a look at the infections, hospitalizations and deaths. The SF metro should be buried right now, and it's not at all. The Bay Area has 8 million people, where are the 50,000 cases, surging cases by the thousands per day, and hundreds dead per day? It's not happening. It should have been hit early and hard, and it hasn't been.
Los Angeles has a lot of poverty and healthcare problems, it should be an ideal explosion city. It has seen anything but that outcome despite all of its problems. Los Angeles isn't hiding many thousands of dead Covid patients and ICU cases from the past week.
Take a look at San Diego County. Same thing.
You might wonder: why am I bringing this up, why does it matter? We're misallocating healthcare resources based on an incorrect premise that all locations are equally susceptible to SARS-CoV-2 (which has also led to very flawed speculation, extrapolation, on expected national case numbers (eg: 70% will get infected, a million will die; headlines of: your city could be the next NYC)). Simple example: they sent the USNS Mercy navy ship to Los Angeles, it's needed off the coast of NYC to a dramatically greater degree - LA isn't going to see the same kind of surge (theirs will be far more mild). Conceptually we need Texas and Arizona manufacturing resources for the hard hit climates.
According to that data NY has tested almost 1% of their population while Texas has tested only 0.1% of theirs. But even if we look only at hospitalizations as you’ve suggested could it be that you’re incorrectly attributing the slower rates to temperature rather than population density? The colder cities in the US are the older cities where people live very closely together. States like Texas have a certain degree of “social distancing” already baked in. Using the drive thru and avoiding the subway and elevators isn’t really a drastic change for Texas. It’s basically impossible for much of New York.
Except that Wuhan is at the same latitude as Texas.
You also failed to mention Washington, which was the site of the first outbreak in the US, and is about as north as you can go and still remain in the union, excluding Alaska. Washington currently has the second-slowest death-count doubling-rate out of any state with at least 10 deaths. Their deaths double every 7 days. It used to be every 3 days. Can’t attribute that to the heat. You know what you can attribute it to? Washington’s response to the outbreak.
Florida’s deaths double every 3 days. Louisiana’s deaths double every 3 days.
Texas’s deaths double every 3 days.
Vermont, another northern state that borders New York state, has the slowest death count doubling rate, at every 12 days.
This is exponential growth. Please stop dealing with absolute numbers. Some states are later into their epidemics than others. Texas is relatively early into their outbreak at ~7 days since the 10th death, but their deaths are growing exponentially as well. The exponential growth curve should be what you’re observing, or else you will make the same mistake that everyone who thinks they’re exceptional makes.
Show me the 500-2500 dead people in Texas per day, which is what should be happening if they were seeing the surge. Show me a massive explosion in positive cases and hospitalizations. The fact is, it's not happening.
34 deaths in Texas and zero big surge:
https://covidtracking.com/data/state/texas/#history
The testing information has been flawed as a resource in all locations except for a few around the world (eg South Korea, which has been a stellar example). You want to look at the deaths and hospitalizations, the flooding of ICUs in the states. The states I've listed are seeing none of the huge surge that the other high-infection rate climates have. The US isn't hiding tens of thousands of recent Covid deaths from the past week. Our testing has ramped up such that we're able to do near a million tests per week now. If Texas cities were seeing hundreds of daily Covid deaths, it would be everywhere in the news, on social media and so on (as it is in NYC).
Take a look at the SF local metro. Take a look at the infections, hospitalizations and deaths. The SF metro should be buried right now, and it's not at all. The Bay Area has 8 million people, where are the 50,000 cases, surging cases by the thousands per day, and hundreds dead per day? It's not happening. It should have been hit early and hard, and it hasn't been.
Los Angeles has a lot of poverty and healthcare problems, it should be an ideal explosion city. It has seen anything but that outcome despite all of its problems. Los Angeles isn't hiding many thousands of dead Covid patients and ICU cases from the past week.
Take a look at San Diego County. Same thing.
You might wonder: why am I bringing this up, why does it matter? We're misallocating healthcare resources based on an incorrect premise that all locations are equally susceptible to SARS-CoV-2 (which has also led to very flawed speculation, extrapolation, on expected national case numbers (eg: 70% will get infected, a million will die; headlines of: your city could be the next NYC)). Simple example: they sent the USNS Mercy navy ship to Los Angeles, it's needed off the coast of NYC to a dramatically greater degree - LA isn't going to see the same kind of surge (theirs will be far more mild). Conceptually we need Texas and Arizona manufacturing resources for the hard hit climates.