On: The danger of stories

"Of course, that's illogical. My story is only one of many possible scenarios that could lead to Apple buying Microsoft, so it must have a smaller likelihood."

That's dumb. It's entirely possible for there to be a large number of possibilities, yet one to have a higher probability of occurring than all of the rest combined.

But no single one could have a higher probability of occurring than all the rest combined with itself. That's the point.

The probability of you finding a point to that post is at least equal to the probability of everyone else here combined.