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I got the initial wake up call after it became clear this is much more contagious than SARS/MERS. (Reused parameters and initial data for contagion simulation.)

That was a month ago. Managed to get done most of the preparations designed for a quarantine of about a month length as predicated by Chinese data. And a few extras. Not exactly hoarding food levels.

What I didn't consider was how strict and well executed were the containment measures applied by China. Without these, we'll probably get much longer, three month run. The measures I've taken definitely will help but potentially are not enough.




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