If I had to choose I’d rather believe someone that accomplished rocket reusability with prices ridiculously low compared to all the competitors rather than someone that has no idea about the difference between a steam engine and a rocket and probably never heard about the rocket equation.
That's is the fandom talking. There was no indication that Space X expected failure twice in a row.
Elon Musk presided over a failure in static pressure testing of a steel vessel. No vibrations, no dynamic loading, no fluid flow, just simply pressurizing a steel tank. No exotic materials or difficult techniques like aluminium welding were involved, just garden-variety steel, the best-understood material of all. How do you manage to fail at constructing a piece of equipment as simple as this?
Care to state terms of a bet to see who will succeed first at commercial space transport for some number of humans? I'll have someone write up something and commit to the other side of the bet.
The Russians are flying commercially into space right now, and Soyuz vehicle has an excellent safety record, > 97 % success, no loss of life. With their recent track record no one should trust Boeing or Space X - Starship, Starline and Dragon all revealed what a shambles their engineering is.
