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Ignoring the Catalan issue specifically: the members of the EU are themselves states so would be unhappy with the precedent of any of the other states breaking apart as it might set a precedent.

Thus none of the arguments against Scottish independence from the UK was that Spain said it would oppose Scotland joining the EU on its own as that would be a precedent for Catalonia. (Scotland might get a “sympathy pass” if they tried it post brexit, but perhaps not).

I agree that the EUnwoukd operate better with a larger number of smaller members but there’s no chance of that in my lifetime, unfortunately.



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