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Nobel laureate Daniel Kahneman – Premortem to eliminate thinking biases (youtube.com)
12 points by rbanffy on Oct 18, 2019 | hide | past | favorite | 1 comment


This sounds intriguing for sure. But it seems like it would be hard to ever know how likely premorteming is to kill a good idea as compared with a bad one. And conditioned on some version of a plan being shipped after a premortem session, it's hard to guess - after how many cycles of premortem and corresponding plan revision should the net effect be most likely positive?




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