Huh? You think it’s some kind of projection? How do you explain the great, huge underwater vessel the 4 pilots saw? It was seen visually. The FLIR and radar reports were from different people on two separate training exercises and from the Princeton.
The pilots claiming to have seen the large underwater craft and the tic-tac saw it visually only. The radar on their planes could not pick it up. They watched it for 5 mins and engaged it ( flew at it aggressively, they did not have active weapons). That is where they saw it acting erratically and stopping and starting as if you threw a ping pong ball inside an invisible box before “noticing” them, and mirroring their movements as fravor flew down in a large circle, before cutting across the circle at the tic-tac. It then flew past them as “incredible” speed.
That would be quite the laser pointer to make that scene.
That literally screams "sensor bug". Did no one there ever see how light behaves once you start playing with mirrors? I also wonder how much software is processing is done on raw data in real-time, because some of what I read could be explained by algorithms hitting a corner case.
I mean, what's more likely? A magic propulsion system ignoring known physics, or some component in the complex sensory system of the plane falling into oscillation?
Seen visually means they saw it with their eyes. Yes there exist "sensor bugs" in human vision but multiple observers with same report suffering from "visual sensor bugs" is probabilistically absurd.
Assuming those reports are credible, which I see no immediate reason to doubt, the most plausible explanation must include technology that is far more advanced than anything we have or can imagine having today or in the next few decades.
The evidence in this case is very weak. Someone saw something.
"must include technology that is far more advanced than anything we have"
Unless we get actual pieces of that "advanced technology", the most probable explanation is that the people got confused. The same way we all get confused about million other things; like miracles witnessed by thousands of people or cops chasing UFO that turned out to be Venus.
I will repeat - Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence.
Reports may be credible, but the reporting on that reporting less so. The way I understand it, some people saw some thing, FLIR saw some thing, a ship radar is claimed to have seen some things, but there's little to actually connect these observations as being the same thing.
My current best theory is that pilots were seeing a reflection on the surface of water and got confused because FLIR had a possibly unrelated and buggy interaction between an internal reflection in optics and tracking software.
(As for the radar thing, I hear it being said that there was a radar that saw someting, but no concrete information is being presented.)
Now take it from the other way around. Say it's aliens, or supernatural beings. Then why on Earth would they behave in an exact way that makes the FLIR footage indistinguishable from a camera auto-tracking a reflection on its own optics? Why exactly this pattern?
Reflection on the surface of water doesn't pass muster, it's impossible given the pilot reports. There is a multitude of events that are _all_ correlated in time and space. So opposite to what you say, there is a lot to connect these observations.
Also, there are far more plausible scenarios than aliens or the supernatural that involve extremely advanced technology.
That doesn't mean the laser pointer wielder is moving that fast.