On: Reconsidering whether Prohibition was a failure

[barry-cotter]

The causality could go

Dry County -> Lots of Drink Driving (Unhealthy relationship with alcohol)

Or it could be

Lots of Drink Driving (Unhealthy relationship with alcohol) -> Dry County

You’d need to do historical research to see if the bad relationship preceded the alcohol ban. A first pass would be historical murder rates seeing as drunkenness leads to violence, which leads to deaths.

[sfRattan → barry-cotter]

Or it could go:

Dry county -> social drinkers must drive to the bar in the next county over, or even several counties over -> drunk drivers from the dry county spend more time and distance on roads than they would otherwise -> higher instance of drunk driving related accidents in the dry county.