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Yes!

And eye witness testimony is often terrible. It's disappointing that circumstantial evidence gets such a bad rap.

Very unlikely things happen all the time. But beyond a certain level of unlikeliness, combined with a strong motive, it has to be enough.

And of course in practice everyone gets this because cases are decided every day by this implicit understanding.

    Some circumstantial evidence is very strong, as when you
    find a trout in the milk.

    -- Henry David Thoreau


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