The real disruptive techs for govt will be advances in things like fully homomorphic encryption (FHE), data tokenization, identity (happening today), privacy enhancing AI and other privacy enhancing technologies that facilitate data sharing that is impossible today due to jurisdictional and legal issues.
One of the biggest things that is going to hit government that people haven't articulated is the effect of Agile development on service economics.
Short version is, iterative development was designed for things that grow revenue, so the cost of maintaining them using devops is minor when you are a growth SaaS business. Waterfall methods were designed to be built by expensive developers and passed on to cheaper operations groups for long term maintenance lifetimes of a decade or more.
Keeping developers on staff to patch libraries, iterate on features and maintain solutions that have fixed revenue/funding allotments is much more expensive than most agencies understand they are signing up for.
Going to a cloud subscription model creates massive procurement problems with vendor lock-in and competitiveness issues, and it also takes PII and sensitive data out of their custody and control.
I think to understand government, you need to understand public sector economics, which are centrally planned and do not reflect the reality of the outside economic world.
One of the biggest things that is going to hit government that people haven't articulated is the effect of Agile development on service economics.
Short version is, iterative development was designed for things that grow revenue, so the cost of maintaining them using devops is minor when you are a growth SaaS business. Waterfall methods were designed to be built by expensive developers and passed on to cheaper operations groups for long term maintenance lifetimes of a decade or more.
Keeping developers on staff to patch libraries, iterate on features and maintain solutions that have fixed revenue/funding allotments is much more expensive than most agencies understand they are signing up for.
Going to a cloud subscription model creates massive procurement problems with vendor lock-in and competitiveness issues, and it also takes PII and sensitive data out of their custody and control.
I think to understand government, you need to understand public sector economics, which are centrally planned and do not reflect the reality of the outside economic world.