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I have a bad feeling about the next 10 years. 1900-1910 was a decade of globalization and affluence for certain classes and a big split between rich and poor, in fact rather like 2000-2010. 1910-1920 was not a happy period for anyone.


yep, we're due for a small WWIII (there are set of global problems - pollution, including green house gases, human rights, including ethnic cleansing, currencies valuations, intellectual property rights, Internet management - which can't be solved in the current framework of 180 states getting individually to agree to a treaty and after that actually obeying the treaty)

>10. Political-Economic reorganization: [...] so I'm sure that people will muddle through and figure out some way to distribute it equitably...

he forgot

11. rapid increase of number of countries armed with nukes


Well, he did say "exciting!"


I agree, it's likely to be a time of great disorder and suffering. God forbid there should be another World War, but many of the reasons for international amicability are now breaking down, like easy trade and a relatively simple geopolitical structure.




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