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Catastrophe today vs. extinction tomorrow, I fear.


Extinction won't happen. 99.99% could die and that would leave seven million people.


7 000 000 000 * .01% = 700 000 Still, you make a very good point. Homo Sapiens will stick around. Advanced civilization might not.


That's the endgame I expect: climate refugees leading to (possibly nuclear) war. With a much smaller human population (and perhaps a bit of nuclear winter), atmospheric CO2 will return to pre-industrial levels, and things will return to normal in a couple millennia. The remaining humans will migrate down from Alaska and Siberia, and build new cities on top of the ruins.

Climate change is a "solved" problem, but the solution isn't something I would want to live through.


> Climate change is a "solved" problem, but the solution isn't something I would want to live through.

The good news is, unless you are part of the lucky 0.01%, you won't have to live through it!


It's still a wretched way to die.

Most of us posting here will die of old age before things really get ugly. It's our children or grandchildren who will suffer.


I can see advanced civilization taking a (possibly long) pause. But there will be so much space to expand into for the survivors, and caches of technology to discover. Someone will eventually discover and re-tool.




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