If you haven't watched it, there was a fantastic 2009 talk (given during HOPE09) on what goes into fabrication called "Indistinguishable From Magic: Manufacturing Modern Computer Chips" [1]. Keeping in mind things have advanced even farther over the subsequent decade, even at that point it was mind blowing what goes into the hardware at the core of what we all do. The level of purity and consistency needed for a lot of basic inputs is measured in atoms, really digging into the details it's amazing some of this works at all let alone with high yields. Helps give some context of how an incident like this can happen and how easily the cost could rapidly rise to eye watering levels.
I think Andor has posted on HN since too with some other high level talk, though not further updates per se since unsurprisingly details around fabrications are very heavily guarded trade secrets. I still rewatch it every year or two, it remains a real source of wonder to me what we've pulled off there.
I'm the uploader of the video. I'm not the Todd Fernandez, the speaker for that HOPE09 talk. I happened to give a talk at the same congress (Digital Security in Healthcare Institutions, pretty outdated as of today), watched Todd talk, and loved it.
My upload is published every once in a while in HN or Reddit, but I'm not the author, just a, ahem, freeloader.
I uploaded the talk with intention of subtitle it for my deaf teacher in particular and Spanish speaking people in general, but I lost control of the account, I think it was related of some sort of Google+ problem.
Of the $550 million, I wonder how much of it is in materials cost and how much of it is in penalties paid to renegotiate delivery dates for the affected customers.
I'm a little surprised this ended up being resist. Photolithography usually involves quite a lot of looking at SEM imagery of test patterns. (These usually go in the scribe lines.) The problem must have been pretty subtle for it not to get flagged. Maybe (since they mention unexpected polymerization) it left an unexpected residue after cleans? Post-photo clean usually starts with ashing in an oxygen plasma, so it would have to be some pretty serious gunk to survive that and the subsequent wet clean.
What is the size of the market for framed almost-complete wafers? Say you can sell a framed wafer for $50, of which $10 is materials and $10 is labor, you still make $30 x ~20,000 or ~$600,000 for the whole batch, minus taxes.
Imagine a state actor with the resources and motivation to engage in serious sabotage (a-la stuxnet). These processes are so sensitive and complex, I bet they could come up with a really devious way to introduce a contaminant that isn't detected until it's too late -- maybe even when the parts start failing after delivery. Pretty wild to think about having that kind of target on your back and what you'd have to do to even try to defend against it.
Supply chains are so interconnected it would be impossible to limit the damage to your intended targets.
Probably similar to GPS "selective availability": turns out it would hurt the US Military more than anything else these days so the military has essentially abandoned the idea.
Shortages of the special military GPS receivers (which support decrypting the encrypted signal) resulted in the US military having to use ordinary civilian GPS receivers instead in many cases. So, limiting the accuracy of the civilian signal was having a negative impact on the US military's own operations.
I think Andor has posted on HN since too with some other high level talk, though not further updates per se since unsurprisingly details around fabrications are very heavily guarded trade secrets. I still rewatch it every year or two, it remains a real source of wonder to me what we've pulled off there.
----
1: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NGFhc8R_uO4