Vendors have 2 core requirements to continue operating: get new customers and keep the existing ones. Getting new customers requires constant innovation, marketing spend, providing value, etc. Keeping existing customers only requires making the pain of leaving greater than the pain of staying.
Sure. And from even from that you still can't infer what outcome will materialize. If you made the technically correct decision and your business went under because of it, that is still gonna hurt no matter which way you look at it. Hence the advice is do your homework, figure out which risks are acceptable to you, make your choice and take the responsibility. There is no magic bullet to picking the right option. Only picking the option you can live with because that's what you're going to have to do regardless of the outcome.
You might know all the theory on aviation and be a really experienced pilot and one day a sudden wind shear might still fuck you.
