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I really recommend this Ars Technica podcast that features a long and in-depth interview with Avi Loeb:

https://arstechnica.com/science/2018/11/nailing-down-the-nat...

He makes a pretty convincing case that there are several highly unusual properties of Oumaumau that makes it reasonable to hypothesize that it is of unnatural origin. Whether or not you're convinced, you'll at least come away much better informed about his arguments that from the soundbite back-and-forth that passes for debate in articles like the BI one.



And I really recommend this PBS Space Time Video:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wICOlaQOpM0

He makes excellent points that given historical data, a mm thin solar sail really shouldn't be our first conclusion instead of a collection of rocks that broke apart and refused back together (think of a combination of Shoemaker-Levy and Ultima Thule).

And given the short length of time we've been observing space, chances of one of the first things we see enter our solar system be a tumbling, solar sail would mean that interstellar space is chock full of wildly tumbling solar sails! We need to take base rates for probability into account and realize that since most of the stuff we've seen in space is just rocks and most of our models predict just rocks in interstellar space, the probability of it being anything other than just a rock is very low.

This whole media obsession with Avi Loeb definitely feels like an example of news organization paying too much attention to the institution an academic works at and not how the rest of their field thinks about their ideas.


For those without javascript and wishing to download the interview directly in mp3 form, here's the URL:

https://traffic.libsyn.com/secure/force-cdn/highwinds/aftero...


Avi Leob is THE person.

You might find also interesting his interview on Rob Reid's podcast: https://after-on.com/episodes-31-60/040


I believe that is the same audio in the linked article. They said it’s an Ars podcast but it’s After On.


If he wants to make any progress understanding Oumuamua, he will need to talk to a plasma physicist. Then he will need to stop talking about it, because there is no more reliable way to get ostracized in astronomy than to start talking about that.




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