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Actually, my main concern is the risk created by coupling one very and expensive project (the carriers) to the design of a particular model of new aircraft.

At least with CATOBAR there is the option of falling back to other designs.




Correct. Harriers are out of service for the RN/RAF, and good they should be. The French were prudent in using CATOBAR with their carriers. They get the advantage of Rafale, F-18, E2, etc etc. Plus they wisely chose nuclear power.




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