> Russian ops can't even poison an expat without severe consequences
Only because of the public backlash against the local government last time they were known to have poisoned someone in the same country without consequences.
> kidnapping or murdering people outside of Russia would be an act of war
You've got to be kidding. The recent chemical weapon attack was done for the shock value, because they literally do not give AF about the consequences. It's Putin flexing on the world stage.