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> They don't have to be right in the assessment

They do to support the prediction that “it doesn't take a genius to see that the heartland will see improving conditions going forward”, based on Trump's political need for heartland votes.

I agree with you that things don't actually have to get better for Trump to get votes if he can sell it as something else blocking his efforts, but that just further undermines the claim I was responding to.



I understood that comment with an emphasis on "see" improved conditions. As in, the change might only be in perception.




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